markets

Polymarket markets by whale activity

Every market where wallets moved serious size over the last 30 days — $67.08M across 1870 fills of $10,000 or more. Each page shows which side the whales took, the price they paid, and the individual trades, each linked to its transaction on-chain. Open questions are listed first; decided ones are kept as a record.

300 markets · snapshot 2026-10-19 · whale = single fill ≥ $10,000

still open (14)

Questions the market has not answered yet.

01

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 85¢whale consensus
$662K
17 wallets
02

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

whales favor Yes·86% of buy flow·entry 70¢whale consensus
$593K
17 wallets
03

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

whales favor Yes·91% of buy flow·entry 38¢one-wallet conviction
$380K
7 wallets
04

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

whales favor Yes·90% of buy flow·entry 53¢whale consensus
$361K
14 wallets
05

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

whales favor No·83% of buy flow·entry 90¢near-certain entry
$218K
5 wallets
06

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 92¢near-certain entry
$216K
4 wallets
07

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

whales favor Yes·77% of buy flow·entry 77¢whale consensus
$181K
11 wallets
08

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 79¢one-wallet conviction
$178K
3 wallets
09

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

whales favor No·51% of buy flow·entry 63¢contested
$110K
4 wallets
10

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 94¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$95K
4 wallets
11

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

whales favor No·56% of buy flow·entry 68¢contestedbelow data bar
$87K
5 wallets
12

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 92¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$84K
6 wallets
13

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 86¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$83K
2 wallets
14

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 82¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$71K
4 wallets

already decided (286)

Kept as a record of how large wallets positioned while these were still open — useful for checking whether the flow was right, not for following it.

01

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?

whales favor Yes·74% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet conviction
$3.87M
5 wallets
02

Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?

whales favor Yes·88% of buy flow·entry 61¢one-wallet conviction
$1.87M
8 wallets
03

Eagles vs. Bears

whales favor Eagles·76% of buy flow·entry 59¢whale consensus
$1.48M
19 wallets
04

Giants vs. Rams

whales favor Rams·83% of buy flow·entry 79¢whale consensus
$1.34M
18 wallets
05

Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers

whales favor Detroit Tigers·97% of buy flow·entry 63¢one-wallet conviction
$1.15M
3 wallets
06

Colts vs. Chiefs

whales favor Chiefs·66% of buy flow·entry 71¢contested
$1.03M
19 wallets
07

Rams vs. Broncos

whales favor Broncos·61% of buy flow·entry 52¢contested
$1.03M
28 wallets
08

Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?

whales favor Yes·96% of buy flow·entry 56¢one-wallet conviction
$987K
5 wallets
09

Bills vs. Rams

whales favor Bills·83% of buy flow·entry 56¢whale consensus
$916K
13 wallets
10

Steelers vs. Browns

whales favor Steelers·64% of buy flow·entry 58¢contested
$914K
10 wallets
11

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?

whales favor Yes·94% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet conviction
$858K
6 wallets
12

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?

whales favor No·95% of buy flow·entry 33¢one-wallet conviction
$809K
4 wallets
13

Cowboys vs. Packers

whales favor Packers·91% of buy flow·entry 83¢whale consensus
$716K
20 wallets
14

Falcons vs. Packers

whales favor Falcons·84% of buy flow·entry 84¢whale consensus
$712K
14 wallets
15

Vikings vs. Buccaneers

whales favor Vikings·59% of buy flow·entry 68¢contested
$697K
19 wallets
16

Will France win on 2026-09-28?

whales favor No·93% of buy flow·entry 56¢whale consensus
$638K
4 wallets
17

Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5

whales favor Under·89% of buy flow·entry 53¢one-wallet conviction
$618K
6 wallets
18

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

whales favor Atlanta Braves·93% of buy flow·entry 57¢one-wallet conviction
$610K
8 wallets
19

Steelers vs. Patriots

whales favor Patriots·71% of buy flow·entry 72¢one-wallet conviction
$564K
7 wallets
20

Spread: Lions (-6.5)

whales favor Jets·97% of buy flow·entry 48¢one-wallet conviction
$555K
5 wallets
21

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 93¢near-certain entry
$554K
18 wallets
22

Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas

whales favor Fenerbahce·100% of buy flow·entry 85¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$545K
2 wallets
23

Spread: Eagles (-3.5)

whales favor Bears·55% of buy flow·entry 51¢contested
$544K
7 wallets
24

Vikings vs. Saints

whales favor Vikings·93% of buy flow·entry 66¢whale consensus
$542K
9 wallets
25

Chiefs vs. Dolphins

whales favor Chiefs·85% of buy flow·entry 87¢one-wallet conviction
$516K
9 wallets
26

49ers vs. Seahawks

whales favor Seahawks·78% of buy flow·entry 50¢whale consensus
$471K
9 wallets
27

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 38¢one-wallet conviction
$433K
3 wallets
28

LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

whales favor BNK FEARX·94% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet conviction
$419K
8 wallets
29

Spread: Broncos (-2.5)

whales favor Broncos·91% of buy flow·entry 52¢whale consensus
$415K
6 wallets
30

Ravens vs. Falcons

whales favor Ravens·79% of buy flow·entry 45¢one-wallet conviction
$405K
8 wallets
31

Boise State vs. Fresno State

whales favor Boise State·100% of buy flow·entry 90¢one-wallet conviction
$400K
3 wallets
32

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

whales favor Los Angeles Dodgers·76% of buy flow·entry 59¢whale consensus
$397K
6 wallets
33

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?

whales favor Yes·91% of buy flow·entry 53¢whale consensus
$391K
9 wallets
34

Packers vs. Jets

whales favor Jets·57% of buy flow·entry 39¢contested
$390K
11 wallets
35

Raiders vs. Chargers

whales favor Raiders·92% of buy flow·entry 73¢whale consensus
$374K
9 wallets
36

Raiders vs. Saints

whales favor Saints·72% of buy flow·entry 71¢contested
$373K
17 wallets
37

Spread: BAL (-8.5)

whales favor NO·54% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$365K
2 wallets
38

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.6¢near-certain entry
$360K
6 wallets
39

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?

whales favor Yes·51% of buy flow·entry 77¢contested
$359K
10 wallets
40

Panthers vs. Falcons

whales favor Falcons·75% of buy flow·entry 43¢whale consensus
$354K
9 wallets
41

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

whales favor Spirit·64% of buy flow·entry 60¢one-wallet conviction
$351K
8 wallets
42

Titans vs. Giants

whales favor Giants·100% of buy flow·entry 56¢one-wallet conviction
$347K
6 wallets
43

Bengals vs. Dolphins

whales favor Bengals·100% of buy flow·entry 96¢near-certain entry
$330K
2 wallets
44

Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5

whales favor Under·87% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$326K
5 wallets
45

Bills vs. Raiders

whales favor Bills·100% of buy flow·entry 90¢near-certain entry
$324K
5 wallets
46

Florida vs. Missouri

whales favor Missouri·52% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet conviction
$320K
5 wallets
47

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers

whales favor Milwaukee Brewers·86% of buy flow·entry 84¢whale consensus
$318K
6 wallets
48

Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)

whales favor Colts·96% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$316K
2 wallets
49

UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

whales favor Natalia Silva·66% of buy flow·entry 65¢one-wallet conviction
$312K
4 wallets
50

Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech

whales favor Pittsburgh·73% of buy flow·entry 56¢contested
$307K
9 wallets
51

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

whales favor New York Yankees·81% of buy flow·entry 86¢whale consensus
$306K
7 wallets
52

Minnesota vs. Washington

whales favor Minnesota·60% of buy flow·entry 53¢contested
$300K
5 wallets
53

Ravens vs. Cowboys

whales favor Cowboys·55% of buy flow·entry 43¢contested
$298K
14 wallets
54

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 61¢whale consensus
$292K
3 wallets
55

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

whales favor HANJIN BRION·96% of buy flow·entry 49¢whale consensus
$292K
5 wallets
56

Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros

whales favor Houston Astros·57% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet conviction
$283K
6 wallets
57

Dolphins vs. 49ers

whales favor 49ers·73% of buy flow·entry 93¢near-certain entry
$281K
6 wallets
58

Spread: Rams (-3.5)

whales favor Bills·75% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$280K
2 wallets
59

Vikings vs. Bears

whales favor Vikings·68% of buy flow·entry 39¢contested
$279K
8 wallets
60

Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

whales favor Galatasaray SK·86% of buy flow·entry 44¢one-wallet conviction
$279K
3 wallets
61

Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

whales favor Seahawks·100% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$277K
5 wallets
62

Spread: Rams (-6.5)

whales favor Rams·77% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet conviction
$273K
4 wallets
63

Commanders vs. Cowboys

whales favor Cowboys·94% of buy flow·entry 72¢whale consensus
$273K
6 wallets
64

Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)

whales favor Dolphins·100% of buy flow·entry 53¢one-wallet conviction
$268K
6 wallets
65

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

whales favor Seahawks·100% of buy flow·entry 66¢one-wallet conviction
$264K
4 wallets
66

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

whales favor MOUZ·92% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet conviction
$264K
4 wallets
67

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?

whales favor Yes·96% of buy flow·entry 47¢whale consensus
$262K
6 wallets
68

Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 96¢near-certain entry
$260K
6 wallets
69

Panthers vs. Browns

whales favor Browns·75% of buy flow·entry 47¢one-wallet conviction
$258K
4 wallets
70

Texas A&M vs. Missouri

whales favor Missouri·93% of buy flow·entry 73¢whale consensus
$258K
4 wallets
71

Spread: Virginia Tech (-2.5)

whales favor Pittsburgh·100% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$249K
2 wallets
72

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers

whales favor Los Angeles Dodgers·54% of buy flow·entry 50¢contested
$249K
7 wallets
73

Cardinals vs. Rams

whales favor Rams·94% of buy flow·entry 80¢one-wallet conviction
$248K
7 wallets
74

Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?

whales favor Yes·66% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$246K
3 wallets
75

Spread: 49ers (-7.5)

whales favor Cardinals·51% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet conviction
$246K
2 wallets
76

Houston Astros vs. Athletics

whales favor Houston Astros·83% of buy flow·entry 69¢whale consensus
$239K
6 wallets
77

UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

whales favor Joshua Van·77% of buy flow·entry 59¢whale consensus
$232K
6 wallets
78

Patriots vs. Jaguars

whales favor Jaguars·91% of buy flow·entry 60¢one-wallet conviction
$229K
5 wallets
79

Clemson vs. California

whales favor Clemson·57% of buy flow·entry 58¢contested
$224K
9 wallets
80

Eagles vs. Titans

whales favor Eagles·52% of buy flow·entry 75¢contested
$218K
4 wallets
81

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

whales favor LASK Linz·100% of buy flow·entry 58¢one-wallet conviction
$216K
2 wallets
82

China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa

whales favor Cristina Bucsa·76% of buy flow·entry 66¢one-wallet conviction
$215K
2 wallets
83

LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

whales favor Team WE·83% of buy flow·entry 63¢whale consensus
$212K
6 wallets
84

Florida State vs. Alabama

whales favor Alabama·100% of buy flow·entry 87¢whale consensus
$211K
7 wallets
85

Seahawks vs. Commanders

whales favor Seahawks·69% of buy flow·entry 72¢one-wallet conviction
$207K
4 wallets
86

James Madison vs. San Diego State

whales favor James Madison·88% of buy flow·entry 93¢near-certain entry
$207K
3 wallets
87

Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

whales favor LOUD·100% of buy flow·entry 49¢whale consensus
$206K
5 wallets
88

Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 84¢whale consensus
$204K
7 wallets
89

Flyers vs. Bruins

whales favor Bruins·100% of buy flow·entry 56¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$198K
1 wallet
90

Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C

whales favor TYLOO·72% of buy flow·entry 34¢one-wallet conviction
$197K
3 wallets
91

Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers

whales favor Detroit Tigers·100% of buy flow·entry 57¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$190K
1 wallet
92

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

whales favor Vitality·84% of buy flow·entry 81¢whale consensus
$187K
10 wallets
93

Bengals vs. Texans

whales favor Texans·69% of buy flow·entry 57¢contested
$182K
8 wallets
94

Washington vs. USC

whales favor USC·66% of buy flow·entry 77¢one-wallet conviction
$180K
6 wallets
95

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-11?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$168K
1 wallet
96

Alabama vs. Mississippi State

whales favor Alabama·100% of buy flow·entry 70¢whale consensus
$164K
5 wallets
97

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

whales favor Hubert Hurkacz·74% of buy flow·entry 41¢contested
$163K
5 wallets
98

Spread: Rams (-1.5)

whales favor Broncos·100% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$160K
1 wallet
99

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

whales favor Aurora Gaming·70% of buy flow·entry 64¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$159K
2 wallets
100

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

whales favor Tampa Bay Rays·100% of buy flow·entry 42¢whale consensus
$159K
4 wallets
101

Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina

whales favor Liberty·61% of buy flow·entry 64¢contested
$154K
5 wallets
102

Spread: Chargers (-6.5)

whales favor Raiders·100% of buy flow·entry 49¢one-wallet conviction
$153K
2 wallets
103

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.5¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$151K
2 wallets
104

Raiders vs. Patriots

whales favor Patriots·100% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$148K
2 wallets
105

Chargers vs. Bills

whales favor Bills·100% of buy flow·entry 59¢one-wallet conviction
$148K
4 wallets
106

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?

whales favor Yes·79% of buy flow·entry 13¢one-wallet conviction
$148K
6 wallets
107

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

whales favor Xtreme Gaming·91% of buy flow·entry 92¢near-certain entry
$147K
5 wallets
108

Will England win on 2026-10-03?

whales favor Yes·85% of buy flow·entry 71¢whale consensus
$146K
9 wallets
109

Texas vs. Oklahoma

whales favor Texas·80% of buy flow·entry 76¢whale consensus
$145K
6 wallets
110

Penn State vs. Northwestern

whales favor Northwestern·92% of buy flow·entry 80¢whale consensus
$145K
4 wallets
111

Texans vs. Colts

whales favor Colts·100% of buy flow·entry 56¢whale consensus
$142K
6 wallets
112

Eagles vs. Jaguars

whales favor Jaguars·61% of buy flow·entry 63¢contested
$140K
5 wallets
113

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

whales favor MOUZ·83% of buy flow·entry 44¢one-wallet conviction
$139K
3 wallets
114

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D

whales favor NRG·100% of buy flow·entry 51¢one-wallet conviction
$139K
3 wallets
115

Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)

whales favor Real Madrid CF·100% of buy flow·entry 96¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$138K
1 wallet
116

Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5

whales favor Over·100% of buy flow·entry 49¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$137K
1 wallet
117

Arizona State vs. Kansas

whales favor Arizona State·100% of buy flow·entry 67¢one-wallet conviction
$137K
2 wallets
118

Steelers vs. Buccaneers

whales favor Steelers·100% of buy flow·entry 85¢one-wallet conviction
$137K
3 wallets
119

Will FK Neftchi Fargona win on 2026-10-12?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 96¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$136K
1 wallet
120

Rangers vs. Red Wings

whales favor Red Wings·80% of buy flow·entry 55¢one-wallet conviction
$133K
4 wallets
121

Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 41.5

whales favor Over·100% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet conviction
$132K
3 wallets
122

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

whales favor JD Gaming·59% of buy flow·entry 63¢contested
$130K
7 wallets
123

Browns vs. Jets

whales favor Jets·86% of buy flow·entry 50¢whale consensus
$130K
5 wallets
124

LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

whales favor KT Rolster·100% of buy flow·entry 74¢one-wallet conviction
$130K
6 wallets
125

Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.7¢near-certain entry
$129K
2 wallets
126

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

whales favor Yes·87% of buy flow·entry 89¢one-wallet conviction
$129K
3 wallets
127

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 99¢near-certain entry
$128K
5 wallets
128

Army vs. Louisiana Tech

whales favor Army·87% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet conviction
$128K
3 wallets
129

Browns vs. Buccaneers

whales favor Buccaneers·78% of buy flow·entry 78¢whale consensus
$128K
4 wallets
130

Blues vs. Senators

whales favor Senators·52% of buy flow·entry 47¢one-wallet conviction
$127K
2 wallets
131

North Carolina vs. Clemson

whales favor North Carolina·78% of buy flow·entry 41¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$126K
2 wallets
132

Spread: Bills (-7.5)

whales favor Chargers·85% of buy flow·entry 52¢whale consensus
$126K
6 wallets
133

Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5

whales favor Under·84% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet conviction
$125K
3 wallets
134

UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card)

whales favor Rinya Nakamura·100% of buy flow·entry 77¢one-wallet conviction
$124K
2 wallets
135

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

whales favor JD Gaming·58% of buy flow·entry 47¢one-wallet conviction
$123K
5 wallets
136

Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?

whales favor Yes·66% of buy flow·entry 32¢one-wallet conviction
$123K
3 wallets
137

Bengals vs. Steelers

whales favor Bengals·75% of buy flow·entry 61¢whale consensus
$122K
4 wallets
138

Wisconsin vs. Penn State

whales favor Penn State·100% of buy flow·entry 79¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$122K
1 wallet
139

Spread: Bears (-4.5)

whales favor Vikings·90% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet conviction
$122K
3 wallets
140

Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?

whales favor No·81% of buy flow·entry 55¢whale consensus
$119K
6 wallets
141

China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic

whales favor Novak Djokovic·100% of buy flow·entry 76¢one-wallet conviction
$119K
2 wallets
142

China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Mirra Andreeva

whales favor Qinwen Zheng·100% of buy flow·entry 77¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$118K
2 wallets
143

SMU vs. Louisville

whales favor Louisville·100% of buy flow·entry 59¢whale consensus
$117K
3 wallets
144

Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B

whales favor Global Esports·72% of buy flow·entry 73¢contested
$116K
4 wallets
145

Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?

whales favor No·89% of buy flow·entry 86¢one-wallet conviction
$116K
5 wallets
146

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

whales favor Team Spirit·58% of buy flow·entry 39¢contested
$115K
4 wallets
147

LSU vs. Kentucky

whales favor Kentucky·67% of buy flow·entry 40¢one-wallet conviction
$115K
2 wallets
148

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

whales favor Vitality·100% of buy flow·entry 73¢one-wallet conviction
$114K
6 wallets
149

Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants

whales favor San Francisco Giants·56% of buy flow·entry 42¢one-wallet conviction
$114K
3 wallets
150

Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska

whales favor Nadia Podoroska·52% of buy flow·entry 85¢one-wallet conviction
$114K
3 wallets
151

Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5

whales favor Under·55% of buy flow·entry 50¢contested
$114K
5 wallets
152

Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

whales favor Jaume Munar·100% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet conviction
$114K
2 wallets
153

Spread: Saints (-3.5)

whales favor Saints·67% of buy flow·entry 49¢contested
$113K
4 wallets
154

Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

whales favor BNK FEARX·100% of buy flow·entry 49¢one-wallet conviction
$112K
2 wallets
155

Iowa vs. Michigan

whales favor Michigan·87% of buy flow·entry 73¢one-wallet conviction
$112K
3 wallets
156

UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

whales favor Ailin Perez·91% of buy flow·entry 60¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$111K
2 wallets
157

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D

whales favor MIBR·61% of buy flow·entry 56¢contested
$111K
5 wallets
158

Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau

whales favor Clement Tabur·100% of buy flow·entry 74¢one-wallet conviction
$111K
5 wallets
159

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

whales favor LGD Gaming·72% of buy flow·entry 58¢one-wallet conviction
$110K
3 wallets
160

Georgia vs. Alabama

whales favor Georgia·54% of buy flow·entry 51¢contested
$110K
6 wallets
161

Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 93¢near-certain entry
$110K
2 wallets
162

Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 29¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$109K
2 wallets
163

LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner

whales favor LYON·100% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet conviction
$109K
5 wallets
164

Ole Miss vs. Florida

whales favor Florida·84% of buy flow·entry 84¢one-wallet conviction
$109K
5 wallets
165

Kentucky vs. South Carolina

whales favor South Carolina·100% of buy flow·entry 85¢one-wallet conviction
$109K
3 wallets
166

Spread: Packers (-4.5)

whales favor Falcons·73% of buy flow·entry 49¢one-wallet conviction
$108K
3 wallets
167

Rice vs. Fresno State

whales favor Fresno State·100% of buy flow·entry 70¢one-wallet conviction
$107K
2 wallets
168

Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C

whales favor Team Liquid·100% of buy flow·entry 81¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$106K
1 wallet
169

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

whales favor Legacy·68% of buy flow·entry 46¢one-wallet conviction
$106K
4 wallets
170

Wuhan Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Han Shi

whales favor Han Shi·72% of buy flow·entry 75¢one-wallet conviction
$106K
4 wallets
171

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves

whales favor Atlanta Braves·100% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet conviction
$105K
2 wallets
172

Florida State vs. Louisville

whales favor Florida State·78% of buy flow·entry 76¢one-wallet conviction
$105K
4 wallets
173

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs

whales favor JD Gaming·57% of buy flow·entry 48¢one-wallet conviction
$105K
3 wallets
174

Florida International vs. Jacksonville State

whales favor Jacksonville State·79% of buy flow·entry 62¢one-wallet conviction
$105K
4 wallets
175

Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)

whales favor France·100% of buy flow·entry 99.5¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$104K
1 wallet
176

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

whales favor Vitality·62% of buy flow·entry 65¢contested
$104K
3 wallets
177

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies

whales favor Philadelphia Phillies·75% of buy flow·entry 81¢whale consensus
$104K
4 wallets
178

LSU vs. Ole Miss

whales favor LSU·59% of buy flow·entry 42¢contested
$104K
6 wallets
179

Broncos vs. Chargers

whales favor Chargers·88% of buy flow·entry 37¢one-wallet conviction
$103K
3 wallets
180

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 98¢near-certain entry
$103K
3 wallets
181

Singapore Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Maja Chwalinska

whales favor Maja Chwalinska·100% of buy flow·entry 91¢near-certain entry
$102K
2 wallets
182

Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5

whales favor Under·100% of buy flow·entry 92¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$102K
2 wallets
183

UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)

whales favor Johnny Walker·100% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$102K
1 wallet
184

Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel

whales favor Adolfo Vallejo·100% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet conviction
$102K
2 wallets
185

Virginia Tech vs. Maryland

whales favor Maryland·89% of buy flow·entry 44¢one-wallet conviction
$101K
3 wallets
186

Jingshan: Sijia Wei vs Fiona Ferro

whales favor Sijia Wei·100% of buy flow·entry 85¢one-wallet conviction
$101K
3 wallets
187

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

whales favor Philadelphia Phillies·65% of buy flow·entry 49¢contested
$101K
5 wallets
188

Army vs. Temple

whales favor Army·100% of buy flow·entry 73¢whale consensus
$101K
3 wallets
189

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 98¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$101K
2 wallets
190

Spread: Patriots (-4.5)

whales favor Steelers·78% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$100K
2 wallets
191

Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston

whales favor Western Kentucky·100% of buy flow·entry 64¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$99K
3 wallets
192

Saints vs. Ravens

whales favor Ravens·66% of buy flow·entry 78¢contestedbelow data bar
$98K
3 wallets
193

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres

whales favor San Diego Padres·100% of buy flow·entry 61¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$98K
3 wallets
194

Spread: Virginia Tech (-1.5)

whales favor Virginia Tech·57% of buy flow·entry 49¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$97K
2 wallets
195

Spread: Eagles (-6.5)

whales favor Titans·84% of buy flow·entry 65¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$97K
4 wallets
196

Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries

whales favor Golden State Valkyries·100% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$97K
2 wallets
197

Senators vs. Maple Leafs

whales favor Maple Leafs·63% of buy flow·entry 53¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$96K
2 wallets
198

Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

whales favor Team Vitality·58% of buy flow·entry 47¢contestedbelow data bar
$96K
3 wallets
199

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 95¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$96K
5 wallets
200

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 95¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$95K
3 wallets
201

LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

whales favor FlyQuest·51% of buy flow·entry 44¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$94K
7 wallets
202

Spread: Raiders (-3.5)

whales favor Saints·100% of buy flow·entry 75¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$94K
2 wallets
203

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

whales favor Team Falcons·62% of buy flow·entry 80¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$94K
3 wallets
204

Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?

whales favor Yes·89% of buy flow·entry 64¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$93K
4 wallets
205

South Alabama vs. Kentucky

whales favor Kentucky·100% of buy flow·entry 92¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$93K
1 wallet
206

Jets vs. Lions

whales favor Lions·70% of buy flow·entry 74¢contestedbelow data bar
$93K
4 wallets
207

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner

whales favor PARIVISION·100% of buy flow·entry 71¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$92K
3 wallets
208

Missouri vs. Mississippi State

whales favor Mississippi State·100% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$92K
3 wallets
209

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs

whales favor B8·100% of buy flow·entry 61¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$92K
1 wallet
210

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

whales favor G2 Esports·100% of buy flow·entry 90¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$92K
4 wallets
211

Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C

whales favor Paper Rex·56% of buy flow·entry 42¢contestedbelow data bar
$92K
4 wallets
212

Spread: Eagles (-2.5)

whales favor Bears·100% of buy flow·entry 43¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$92K
3 wallets
213

Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5

whales favor Under·100% of buy flow·entry 96¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$91K
1 wallet
214

China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva

whales favor Elena Rybakina·65% of buy flow·entry 94¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$91K
4 wallets
215

Spread: Texas (-5.5)

whales favor Tennessee·100% of buy flow·entry 52¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$91K
3 wallets
216

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?

whales favor No·78% of buy flow·entry 90¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$91K
4 wallets
217

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

whales favor New York Yankees·85% of buy flow·entry 55¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$90K
2 wallets
218

West Virginia vs. Iowa State

whales favor Iowa State·100% of buy flow·entry 60¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$89K
1 wallet
219

Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Hanyu Guo

whales favor Katie Volynets·100% of buy flow·entry 59¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$89K
2 wallets
220

Spread: Panthers (-2.5)

whales favor Falcons·58% of buy flow·entry 49¢contestedbelow data bar
$89K
4 wallets
221

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

whales favor San Diego Padres·82% of buy flow·entry 40¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$89K
3 wallets
222

Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)

whales favor Aston Villa FC·100% of buy flow·entry 92¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$89K
1 wallet
223

Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 46.5

whales favor Under·100% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$88K
3 wallets
224

Giants vs. Rams: O/U 50.5

whales favor Under·69% of buy flow·entry 60¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$88K
3 wallets
225

Columbus: Tyler Zink vs Mitchell Krueger

whales favor Tyler Zink·53% of buy flow·entry 31¢contestedbelow data bar
$87K
3 wallets
226

Navy vs. UAB

whales favor UAB·55% of buy flow·entry 42¢contestedbelow data bar
$87K
5 wallets
227

Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware

whales favor Delaware·72% of buy flow·entry 66¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$86K
3 wallets
228

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 83¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$86K
4 wallets
229

Lisbon: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

whales favor Irene Burillo Escorihuela·100% of buy flow·entry 74¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$86K
1 wallet
230

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

whales favor Carlos Alcaraz·100% of buy flow·entry 74¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$86K
6 wallets
231

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 99.8¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$85K
3 wallets
232

New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers

whales favor New York Mets·100% of buy flow·entry 49¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$85K
1 wallet
233

Lions vs. Cardinals

whales favor Cardinals·66% of buy flow·entry 37¢contestedbelow data bar
$85K
5 wallets
234

Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez

whales favor Mirra Andreeva·66% of buy flow·entry 70¢contestedbelow data bar
$85K
5 wallets
235

Chargers vs. Chiefs

whales favor Chiefs·100% of buy flow·entry 83¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$85K
2 wallets
236

Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 98¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$85K
3 wallets
237

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B

whales favor Natus Vincere·68% of buy flow·entry 62¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$84K
2 wallets
238

LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A

whales favor DN SOOPers Challengers·100% of buy flow·entry 99.9¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$84K
2 wallets
239

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

whales favor No·84% of buy flow·entry 93¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$84K
3 wallets
240

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

whales favor G2·81% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$84K
3 wallets
241

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

whales favor Team Yandex·100% of buy flow·entry 85¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$83K
5 wallets
242

Adana: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Lucrezia Stefanini

whales favor Lucrezia Stefanini·100% of buy flow·entry 61¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$83K
2 wallets
243

LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

whales favor BNK FEARX·100% of buy flow·entry 76¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$83K
4 wallets
244

Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.9¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$83K
1 wallet
245

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

whales favor Stefanos Tsitsipas·100% of buy flow·entry 98¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$82K
3 wallets
246

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

whales favor Daniil Medvedev·100% of buy flow·entry 99.9¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$82K
2 wallets
247

LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner

whales favor BNK FEARX·100% of buy flow·entry 99¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$82K
5 wallets
248

China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane Parry

whales favor Diane Parry·63% of buy flow·entry 52¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$81K
3 wallets
249

Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

whales favor Under·100% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$80K
2 wallets
250

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?

whales favor No·83% of buy flow·entry 91¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$80K
3 wallets
251

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-11?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 55¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$80K
1 wallet
252

Georgia vs. Arkansas

whales favor Georgia·100% of buy flow·entry 96¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$80K
2 wallets
253

Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B

whales favor EDward Gaming·100% of buy flow·entry 30¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$79K
3 wallets
254

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

whales favor FlyQuest·100% of buy flow·entry 80¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$79K
2 wallets
255

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

whales favor Nemiga·100% of buy flow·entry 47¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$78K
4 wallets
256

Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces

whales favor Las Vegas Aces·76% of buy flow·entry 82¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$78K
3 wallets
257

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

whales favor Team Yandex·100% of buy flow·entry 89¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$78K
3 wallets
258

Oregon vs. USC

whales favor Oregon·62% of buy flow·entry 74¢contestedbelow data bar
$77K
4 wallets
259

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BBL (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs

whales favor Luminosity·84% of buy flow·entry 65¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$77K
2 wallets
260

James Madison vs. San Diego State: O/U 46.5

whales favor Over·67% of buy flow·entry 48¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$77K
2 wallets
261

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

whales favor Philadelphia Phillies·100% of buy flow·entry 58¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$77K
2 wallets
262

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

whales favor G2 Esports·100% of buy flow·entry 91¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$76K
4 wallets
263

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen

whales favor Carlos Alcaraz·100% of buy flow·entry 84¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$76K
3 wallets
264

LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B

whales favor KT Rolster Challengers·100% of buy flow·entry 99.9¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$76K
3 wallets
265

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 29¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$76K
2 wallets
266

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 98¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$76K
3 wallets
267

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

whales favor Vitality·100% of buy flow·entry 76¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$76K
4 wallets
268

Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Melisa Ercan

whales favor Leolia Jeanjean·100% of buy flow·entry 48¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$76K
2 wallets
269

China Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Alina Charaeva

whales favor Yulia Starodubtseva·100% of buy flow·entry 78¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$75K
2 wallets
270

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 93¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$75K
4 wallets
271

Texas A&M vs. LSU

whales favor LSU·86% of buy flow·entry 81¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$74K
4 wallets
272

Spread: Bengals (-3.5)

whales favor Steelers·100% of buy flow·entry 52¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$74K
3 wallets
273

China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi

whales favor Han Shi·100% of buy flow·entry 62¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$74K
2 wallets
274

Spread: Steelers (-2.5)

whales favor Steelers·64% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$73K
3 wallets
275

Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox

whales favor Boston Red Sox·100% of buy flow·entry 48¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$73K
2 wallets
276

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 97¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$72K
3 wallets
277

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

whales favor Miami Marlins·100% of buy flow·entry 54¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$72K
2 wallets
278

BYU vs. TCU

whales favor BYU·100% of buy flow·entry 68¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$72K
2 wallets
279

UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)

whales favor Josiah Harrell·100% of buy flow·entry 56¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$72K
2 wallets
280

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 97¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$72K
3 wallets
281

Jaguars vs. Broncos

whales favor Jaguars·79% of buy flow·entry 59¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$72K
5 wallets
282

Türkiye vs. France: O/U 3.5

whales favor Over·57% of buy flow·entry 52¢contestedbelow data bar
$71K
4 wallets
283

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?

whales favor Yes·76% of buy flow·entry 76¢whale consensusbelow data bar
$70K
4 wallets
284

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

whales favor LGD Gaming·55% of buy flow·entry 62¢contestedbelow data bar
$70K
3 wallets
285

Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?

whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 91¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$70K
4 wallets
286

Spread: Rams (-2.5)

whales favor Broncos·73% of buy flow·entry 53¢one-wallet convictionbelow data bar
$70K
2 wallets

What counts as a whale. A single fill of $10,000 or more. That bar is the same one used on the whale index, so the two pages can never disagree. A market gets a page once at least two such fills and $50,000 of whale volume have gone through it. Search engines are shown a much smaller set — open questions, plus decided markets that drew over $1M — because a finished market is a record worth keeping, not a result worth ranking.

Positioning is not prediction. We tested whether whale flow forecasts outcomes on hundreds of resolved markets and published the result, including where it fails — read the backtest.