markets
Polymarket markets by whale activity
Every market where wallets moved serious size over the last 30 days — $27.78M across 631 fills of $10,000 or more. Each page shows which side the whales took, the price they paid, and the individual trades, each linked to its transaction on-chain.
47 markets · snapshot 2026-07-20 · whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
01
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
whales favor Yes·82% of buy flow·entry 60¢whale consensus
$2.81M
45 wallets
02
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
whales favor Spain·60% of buy flow·entry 76¢contested
$1.99M
46 wallets
03
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
whales favor Yes·65% of buy flow·entry 53¢contested
$1.34M
20 wallets
04
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
whales favor No·97% of buy flow·entry 64¢one-wallet conviction
$1.12M
5 wallets
05
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
whales favor Yes·80% of buy flow·entry 36¢whale consensus
$1.04M
21 wallets
06
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 99.9¢near-certain entry
$1.01M
7 wallets
07
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
whales favor Yes·97% of buy flow·entry 65¢one-wallet conviction
$910K
6 wallets
08
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
whales favor No·70% of buy flow·entry 59¢one-wallet conviction
$777K
7 wallets
09
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
whales favor No·97% of buy flow·entry 63¢one-wallet conviction
$774K
6 wallets
10
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
whales favor No·66% of buy flow·entry 58¢one-wallet conviction
$719K
9 wallets
11
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.8¢near-certain entry
$709K
5 wallets
12
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
whales favor Yes·84% of buy flow·entry 69¢whale consensus
$638K
13 wallets
13
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
whales favor Yes·94% of buy flow·entry 71¢one-wallet conviction
$613K
7 wallets
14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 88¢whale consensus
$591K
10 wallets
15
France vs. England: Team to Win
whales favor France·90% of buy flow·entry 64¢whale consensus
$557K
19 wallets
16
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
whales favor Over·68% of buy flow·entry 50¢one-wallet conviction
$557K
2 wallets
17
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
whales favor Yes·95% of buy flow·entry 36¢whale consensus
$535K
8 wallets
18
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
whales favor Spain·73% of buy flow·entry 43¢contested
$522K
7 wallets
19
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
whales favor No·77% of buy flow·entry 74¢whale consensus
$522K
12 wallets
20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
whales favor No·72% of buy flow·entry 73¢one-wallet conviction
$521K
9 wallets
21
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
whales favor Argentina·74% of buy flow·entry 49¢contested
$518K
9 wallets
22
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
whales favor Under·62% of buy flow·entry 78¢contested
$473K
10 wallets
23
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
whales favor Yes·89% of buy flow·entry 64¢one-wallet conviction
$451K
6 wallets
24
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)
whales favor Dricus Du Plessis·95% of buy flow·entry 67¢whale consensus
$445K
9 wallets
25
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 NL Central title?
whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.8¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$426K
1 wallet
26
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
whales favor Yes·51% of buy flow·entry 59¢contested
$423K
7 wallets
27
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
whales favor No·59% of buy flow·entry 45¢one-wallet conviction
$412K
3 wallets
28
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
whales favor Yes·96% of buy flow·entry 63¢one-wallet conviction
$410K
5 wallets
29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 99.5¢near-certain entry
$396K
6 wallets
30
Will England win on 2026-07-18?
whales favor Yes·70% of buy flow·entry 60¢contested
$371K
13 wallets
31
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
whales favor Yes·82% of buy flow·entry 72¢whale consensus
$367K
11 wallets
32
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
whales favor Argentina·100% of buy flow·entry 94¢near-certain entry
$351K
12 wallets
33
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
whales favor Yes·83% of buy flow·entry 29¢whale consensus
$345K
10 wallets
34
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
whales favor Yes·86% of buy flow·entry 57¢one-wallet conviction
$328K
5 wallets
35
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini
whales favor Marta Kostyuk·96% of buy flow·entry 87¢one-wallet conviction
$319K
4 wallets
36
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
whales favor England·90% of buy flow·entry 56¢whale consensus
$315K
11 wallets
37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 93¢near-certain entry
$312K
7 wallets
38
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
whales favor Argentina·93% of buy flow·entry 80¢one-wallet conviction
$306K
6 wallets
39
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
whales favor Australia·100% of buy flow·entry 44¢whale consensus
$306K
4 wallets
40
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
whales favor Yes·100% of buy flow·entry 83¢whale consensus
$302K
10 wallets
41
Spread: England (-2.5)
whales favor Panama·92% of buy flow·entry 55¢whale consensus
$298K
5 wallets
42
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 98¢near-certain entrybelow data bar
$288K
1 wallet
43
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
whales favor No·69% of buy flow·entry 45¢one-wallet conviction
$282K
5 wallets
44
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
whales favor Yes·57% of buy flow·entry 55¢contested
$280K
13 wallets
45
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
whales favor Yes·88% of buy flow·entry 40¢one-wallet conviction
$280K
4 wallets
46
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
whales favor France·100% of buy flow·entry 93¢near-certain entry
$278K
5 wallets
47
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
whales favor No·100% of buy flow·entry 97¢near-certain entry
$258K
6 wallets
What counts as a whale. A single fill of $10,000 or more. That bar is the same one used on the whale index, so the two pages can never disagree. A market only gets a page once it has at least five such fills and $250,000 of whale volume — below that there is not enough data to say anything worth reading.
Positioning is not prediction. We tested whether whale flow forecasts outcomes on hundreds of resolved markets and published the result, including where it fails — read the backtest.