Who's betting on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?"? — Polymarket whale activity
3 whale wallets moved $178K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-10-09, across 9 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 79¢. The market last traded No at 84¢.
- $178K
- whale volume
- 3
- whale wallets
- 9
- fills ≥ $10K
- 75%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
2 wallets bought at an average of 79¢
last traded 84¢ on 2026-10-11
how to read this
One wallet drives this market: 0x35bb…009b accounts for 75% of all whale buy volume ($71K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.
Between those entries and the last print the market moved 5 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 0x35bb…009b | SELL | No | $30K | 79¢ |
| 2026-09-26 | 0xe234…304a | BUY | No | $24K | 79¢ |
| 2026-10-09 | 0x35bb…009b | BUY | No | $23K | 82¢ |
| 2026-09-25 | 0x35bb…009b | SELL | No | $23K | 71¢ |
| 2026-09-26 | 0x35bb…009b | SELL | No | $22K | 80¢ |
| 2026-09-23 | 0x35bb…009b | BUY | No | $19K | 78¢ |
| 2026-09-22 | 0x35bb…009b | BUY | No | $17K | 76¢ |
| 2026-09-26 | 0x35bb…009b | BUY | No | $11K | 80¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-12
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.