Who bet on "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House" — Polymarket whale activity
4 whale wallets moved $75K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-10-01, across 4 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 93¢. The market last traded No at 91¢.
- $75K
- whale volume
- 4
- whale wallets
- 4
- fills ≥ $10K
- 44%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
4 wallets bought at an average of 93¢
last traded 91¢ on 2026-10-15
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 4 wallets put $75K into No at around 93¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 4 wallets with the largest at 44% ($33K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 91¢ on 2026-10-15 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (4)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | 0x15fd…cc95 | BUY | No | $33K | 92¢ |
| 2026-09-22 | 0x3eba…849a | BUY | No | $18K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-22 | 0x77fb…266c | BUY | No | $14K | 93¢ |
| 2026-10-01 | 0x05ed…bf70 | BUY | No | $10K | 93¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-19 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.