Who bet on "Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?" — Polymarket whale activity
3 whale wallets moved $84K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-20, across 4 trades of $10,000 or more. 84% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 93¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.
- $84K
- whale volume
- 3
- whale wallets
- 4
- fills ≥ $10K
- 51%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
2 wallets bought at an average of 93¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-21
Yes
1 wallet bought at an average of 20¢
last traded 0.2¢ on 2026-09-21
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 3 wallets put $84K into No at around 93¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 51% of the buy flow ($42K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-21 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (4)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 0x12d6…f2a8 | BUY | No | $29K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0x2d99…4ca3 | BUY | No | $28K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0x12d6…f2a8 | BUY | No | $14K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-19 | 0x202d…369c | BUY | Yes | $14K | 20¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-19 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.