Who bet on "South Alabama vs. Kentucky" — Polymarket whale activity

1 whale wallet moved $93K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-26, across 2 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Kentucky, at a volume-weighted entry of 92¢. The market last traded Kentucky at 99.9¢.

near-certain entry·2026-09-26 → 2026-09-26·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$93K
whale volume
1
whale wallets
2
fills ≥ $10K
100%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Kentucky

1 wallet bought at an average of 92¢

$93K
100% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-26

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. 1 wallet put $93K into Kentucky at around 92¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 100% of the buy flow ($93K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.

The market has since converged — Kentucky last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-26 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (2)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-09-260x7a75…d288BUYKentucky$74K92¢
2026-09-260x7a75…d288BUYKentucky$20K92¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-19 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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