Who's betting on "Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?"? — Polymarket whale activity
7 whale wallets moved $483K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-12, across 13 trades of $10,000 or more. 98% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 75¢. The market last traded Yes at 79¢.
- $483K
- whale volume
- 7
- whale wallets
- 13
- fills ≥ $10K
- 71%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
6 wallets bought at an average of 75¢
last traded 79¢ on 2026-09-14
No
1 wallet bought at an average of 34¢
last traded 20¢ on 2026-09-14
how to read this
One wallet drives this market: 0x369f…873e accounts for 71% of all whale buy volume ($300K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.
Between those entries and the last print the market moved 4 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | 0x369f…873e | BUY | Yes | $136K | 76¢ |
| 2026-08-17 | 0x369f…873e | BUY | Yes | $87K | 76¢ |
| 2026-08-17 | 0x369f…873e | BUY | Yes | $45K | 73¢ |
| 2026-08-28 | 0xb3e8…3735 | BUY | Yes | $45K | 77¢ |
| 2026-09-12 | 0x6edd…728c | SELL | Yes | $40K | 76¢ |
| 2026-09-08 | 0xf2f6…5817 | BUY | Yes | $33K | 69¢ |
| 2026-08-30 | 0x0c18…a04c | SELL | Yes | $19K | 71¢ |
| 2026-08-17 | 0x369f…873e | BUY | Yes | $18K | 82¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-14
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.