Who's betting on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?"? — Polymarket whale activity
8 whale wallets moved $293K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-27, across 9 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 90¢. The market last traded Yes at 91¢.
- $293K
- whale volume
- 8
- whale wallets
- 9
- fills ≥ $10K
- 64%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
6 wallets bought at an average of 90¢
last traded 91¢ on 2026-10-12
how to read this
One wallet drives this market: 0x212f…7fd2 accounts for 64% of all whale buy volume ($144K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | 0x212f…7fd2 | BUY | Yes | $144K | 90¢ |
| 2026-09-27 | 0x0009…1d43 | SELL | Yes | $32K | 92¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0x7919…72b2 | BUY | Yes | $27K | 88¢ |
| 2026-09-15 | 0xc576…747a | BUY | Yes | $23K | 87¢ |
| 2026-09-15 | 0x212f…7fd2 | SELL | Yes | $22K | 87¢ |
| 2026-09-12 | 0x162f…798d | SELL | Yes | $13K | 87¢ |
| 2026-09-23 | 0xe52c…6924 | BUY | Yes | $12K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-22 | 0x9ac5…917b | BUY | Yes | $10K | 93¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-12
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.