Who bet on "Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?" — Polymarket whale activity
4 whale wallets moved $91K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-20, across 4 trades of $10,000 or more. 78% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 90¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.
- $91K
- whale volume
- 4
- whale wallets
- 4
- fills ≥ $10K
- 62%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
2 wallets bought at an average of 90¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-20
Yes
1 wallet bought at an average of 48¢
last traded 0.1¢ on 2026-09-20
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 4 wallets put $91K into No at around 90¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 62% of the buy flow ($50K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-20 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (4)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 0x1ede…46e8 | BUY | No | $50K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0x457f…2a64 | BUY | Yes | $18K | 48¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0xc789…1a62 | BUY | No | $13K | 53¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0x44c5…8d45 | SELL | Yes | $11K | 42¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-19 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.