Who bet on "Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)" — Polymarket whale activity
1 whale wallet moved $138K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-10-14, across 4 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Real Madrid CF, at a volume-weighted entry of 96¢. The market last traded Real Madrid CF at 99.9¢.
- $138K
- whale volume
- 1
- whale wallets
- 4
- fills ≥ $10K
- 100%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Real Madrid CF
1 wallet bought at an average of 96¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-10-14
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 1 wallet put $138K into Real Madrid CF at around 96¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 100% of the buy flow ($138K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — Real Madrid CF last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-10-14 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (4)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 0xee15…112c | BUY | Real Madrid CF | $50K | 96¢ |
| 2026-10-14 | 0xee15…112c | BUY | Real Madrid CF | $45K | 97¢ |
| 2026-10-14 | 0xee15…112c | BUY | Real Madrid CF | $28K | 96¢ |
| 2026-10-14 | 0xee15…112c | BUY | Real Madrid CF | $14K | 96¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-19 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
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