Who bet on "Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?" — Polymarket whale activity
4 whale wallets moved $101K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-21, across 5 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.8¢. The market last traded Yes at 99.9¢.
- $101K
- whale volume
- 4
- whale wallets
- 5
- fills ≥ $10K
- 100%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
1 wallet bought at an average of 99.8¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-21
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 4 wallets put $101K into Yes at around 99.8¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 100% of the buy flow ($31K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — Yes last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-21 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (5)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | 0xa81e…03dc | BUY | Yes | $31K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-09-21 | 0x8476…5418 | SELL | Yes | $30K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0x614d…1546 | SELL | Yes | $16K | 99.0¢ |
| 2026-09-20 | 0xc021…1fa8 | SELL | Yes | $13K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-09-21 | 0xc021…1fa8 | SELL | Yes | $11K | 99.8¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-28 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.