Who's betting on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?"? — Polymarket whale activity
7 whale wallets moved $113K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-24, across 9 trades of $10,000 or more. 54% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 60¢. The market last traded No at 67¢.
- $113K
- whale volume
- 7
- whale wallets
- 9
- fills ≥ $10K
- 33%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
3 wallets bought at an average of 60¢
last traded 67¢ on 2026-09-28
Yes
4 wallets bought at an average of 51¢
last traded 33¢ on 2026-09-28
how to read this
Whale money is genuinely split here. No took 54% of the buy volume and Yes took 46%, so large wallets are on both sides of this question. There is no whale consensus to follow.
Between those entries and the last print the market moved 7 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | 0x0ced…62cb | BUY | Yes | $18K | 49¢ |
| 2026-09-17 | 0x58b3…653c | BUY | No | $13K | 49¢ |
| 2026-09-24 | 0x58b3…653c | BUY | No | $13K | 67¢ |
| 2026-09-22 | 0x7cf9…2798 | BUY | Yes | $12K | 46¢ |
| 2026-09-24 | 0x05f6…25a1 | BUY | No | $12K | 67¢ |
| 2026-09-23 | 0x58b3…653c | BUY | No | $12K | 68¢ |
| 2026-09-21 | 0xf94c…59dc | BUY | Yes | $11K | 49¢ |
| 2026-09-17 | 0xa309…4cf2 | BUY | No | $11K | 51¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-28
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.