Who is betting on "Washington vs. USC" on Polymarket?

6 wallets traded $10,000 or more on this market between 2026-10-03 and 2026-10-04, for $180K of whale volume across 6 fills. The largest single wallet accounts for 54% of whale buy volume.

Which side are whales on for "Washington vs. USC"?

66% of whale buy volume went to USC, at a volume-weighted entry price of 77¢. This describes positioning that already happened; it is not a prediction of the outcome.

Who bet on "Washington vs. USC" — Polymarket whale activity

6 whale wallets moved $180K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-10-04, across 6 trades of $10,000 or more. 66% of their buy volume went to USC, at a volume-weighted entry of 77¢. The market last traded USC at 68¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-10-03 → 2026-10-04·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000

$180K
whale volume: 6
whale wallets: 6
fills ≥ $10K: 54%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

USC

3 wallets bought at an average of 77¢

$119K

66% of buy flow

last traded 68¢ on 2026-10-04

Washington

3 wallets bought at an average of 51¢

$61K

34% of buy flow

last traded 32¢ on 2026-10-04

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0xe015…6ffd accounts for 54% of all whale buy volume ($98K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 9 cents against the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — USC last traded at 68¢ on 2026-10-04 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (6)

date	wallet	side	outcome	size	price
2026-10-03	0xe015…6ffd	BUY	USC	$98K	77¢
2026-10-04	0xf28e…cab2	BUY	Washington	$25K	50¢
2026-10-04	0x2c33…0563	BUY	Washington	$24K	63¢
2026-10-03	0x7e3a…3246	BUY	Washington	$12K	26¢
2026-10-04	0x558f…1a56	BUY	USC	$11K	85¢
2026-10-04	0x67ac…edf1	BUY	USC	$10K	67¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

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This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-19 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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