Who bet on "Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?" — Polymarket whale activity
3 whale wallets moved $80K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-19, across 3 trades of $10,000 or more. 83% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 91¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.
- $80K
- whale volume
- 3
- whale wallets
- 3
- fills ≥ $10K
- 83%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
1 wallet bought at an average of 91¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-19
Yes
1 wallet bought at an average of 57¢
last traded 0.1¢ on 2026-09-19
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 3 wallets put $80K into No at around 91¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 83% of the buy flow ($50K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-19 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (3)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | 0x1e38…fd47 | BUY | No | $50K | 91¢ |
| 2026-09-19 | 0x629c…6c01 | SELL | No | $20K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-09-19 | 0xd391…b109 | BUY | Yes | $10K | 57¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-19 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.