Who bet on "Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5" — Polymarket whale activity
1 whale wallet moved $91K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-10-03, across 4 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Under, at a volume-weighted entry of 96¢. The market last traded Under at 99.9¢.
- $91K
- whale volume
- 1
- whale wallets
- 4
- fills ≥ $10K
- 100%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Under
1 wallet bought at an average of 96¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-10-03
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 1 wallet put $91K into Under at around 96¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 100% of the buy flow ($91K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — Under last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-10-03 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (4)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 0x2c33…0563 | BUY | Under | $32K | 99.5¢ |
| 2026-10-03 | 0x2c33…0563 | BUY | Under | $27K | 89¢ |
| 2026-10-03 | 0x2c33…0563 | BUY | Under | $21K | 99¢ |
| 2026-10-03 | 0x2c33…0563 | BUY | Under | $11K | 99.9¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-19 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.