Who bet on "Will FK Neftchi Fargona win on 2026-10-12?" — Polymarket whale activity
1 whale wallet moved $136K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-10-12, across 3 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 96¢. The market last traded No at 99.6¢.
- $136K
- whale volume
- 1
- whale wallets
- 3
- fills ≥ $10K
- 100%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
1 wallet bought at an average of 96¢
last traded 99.6¢ on 2026-10-12
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 1 wallet put $136K into No at around 96¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 100% of the buy flow ($136K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.6¢ on 2026-10-12 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (3)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 0x2798…0b7d | BUY | No | $72K | 96¢ |
| 2026-10-12 | 0x2798…0b7d | BUY | No | $38K | 96¢ |
| 2026-10-12 | 0x2798…0b7d | BUY | No | $26K | 96¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-19 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.