Who bet on "Xi Jinping out before 2027?" — Polymarket whale activity
5 whale wallets moved $163K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-10-01, across 7 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 96¢. The market last traded No at 97¢.
- $163K
- whale volume
- 5
- whale wallets
- 7
- fills ≥ $10K
- 45%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
4 wallets bought at an average of 96¢
last traded 97¢ on 2026-10-12
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 5 wallets put $163K into No at around 96¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 5 wallets with the largest at 45% ($60K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 97¢ on 2026-10-12 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (7)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 0xed10…d2e5 | BUY | No | $50K | 97¢ |
| 2026-09-18 | 0x9771…5a0a | BUY | No | $43K | 96¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0xded8…ca0f | SELL | No | $19K | 96¢ |
| 2026-09-18 | 0x9771…5a0a | BUY | No | $17K | 96¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0xded8…ca0f | SELL | No | $12K | 95¢ |
| 2026-09-26 | 0xcaab…24dd | BUY | No | $12K | 96¢ |
| 2026-10-01 | 0xa745…8ca6 | BUY | No | $11K | 97¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-12 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.