Who's betting on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?"? — Polymarket whale activity
2 whale wallets moved $83K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-10-14, across 2 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 86¢. The market last traded Yes at 86¢.
- $83K
- whale volume
- 2
- whale wallets
- 2
- fills ≥ $10K
- 81%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
2 wallets bought at an average of 86¢
last traded 86¢ on 2026-10-19
how to read this
One wallet drives this market: 0x88c4…129a accounts for 81% of all whale buy volume ($67K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.
biggest whale fills (2)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 0x88c4…129a | BUY | Yes | $67K | 86¢ |
| 2026-09-24 | 0x2974…9c23 | BUY | Yes | $16K | 85¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-10-19 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.