Who bet on "Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?" — Polymarket whale activity
7 whale wallets moved $1.01M through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-09, across 7 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.9¢. The market last traded Yes at 99.9¢.
- $1.01M
- whale volume
- 7
- whale wallets
- 7
- fills ≥ $10K
- 58%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
5 wallets bought at an average of 99.9¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-09
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. Whales were paying 99.9¢ for Yes — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The market has since converged — Yes last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-09 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (7)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | 0xc8ab…6418 | BUY | Yes | $549K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-07-08 | 0x14c3…df68 | BUY | Yes | $250K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-07-08 | 0x9c26…74bc | BUY | Yes | $100K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-07-08 | 0xf67f…31cf | SELL | Yes | $54K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-07-08 | 0x96b5…f5e7 | BUY | Yes | $29K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-07-07 | 0x7e8a…5f49 | BUY | Yes | $15K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-07-07 | 0x3372…6d37 | SELL | Yes | $10K | 99.8¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 47 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-20
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.