Who bet on "Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" — Polymarket whale activity
5 whale wallets moved $709K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-19, across 30 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.8¢. The market last traded No at 99.8¢.
- $709K
- whale volume
- 5
- whale wallets
- 30
- fills ≥ $10K
- 59%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
5 wallets bought at an average of 99.8¢
last traded 99.8¢ on 2026-07-20
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. Whales were paying 99.8¢ for No — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.8¢ on 2026-07-20 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | 0xcf5f…98d5 | BUY | No | $31K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-07-19 | 0xcf5f…98d5 | BUY | No | $31K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-07-19 | 0xcf5f…98d5 | BUY | No | $31K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-07-19 | 0xcf5f…98d5 | BUY | No | $31K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-07-19 | 0xcf5f…98d5 | BUY | No | $31K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-07-19 | 0xcf5f…98d5 | BUY | No | $31K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-07-19 | 0xcf5f…98d5 | BUY | No | $31K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-07-19 | 0xcf5f…98d5 | BUY | No | $31K | 99.8¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 47 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-20
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.