Who bet on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?" — Polymarket whale activity
7 whale wallets moved $312K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-06-28, across 9 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 93¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.
- $312K
- whale volume
- 7
- whale wallets
- 9
- fills ≥ $10K
- 39%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
3 wallets bought at an average of 93¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-06
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. Whales were paying 93¢ for No — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-06 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | 0xc8ab…6418 | SELL | No | $120K | 92¢ |
| 2026-06-21 | 0xc8ab…6418 | SELL | No | $48K | 92¢ |
| 2026-06-24 | 0x182b…f3d3 | SELL | No | $26K | 98¢ |
| 2026-06-20 | 0x0c0e…434e | BUY | No | $26K | 95¢ |
| 2026-06-28 | 0x9c98…f4f4 | SELL | No | $25K | 98¢ |
| 2026-06-27 | 0x7c9d…acff | SELL | No | $22K | 96¢ |
| 2026-06-21 | 0x0cba…92d3 | BUY | No | $17K | 93¢ |
| 2026-06-25 | 0xfc2f…10c7 | BUY | No | $16K | 91¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 47 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-20
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.