Who bet on "Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance" — Polymarket whale activity
11 whale wallets moved $315K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-06, across 12 trades of $10,000 or more. 90% of their buy volume went to England, at a volume-weighted entry of 56¢. The market last traded England at 99.9¢.
- $315K
- whale volume
- 11
- whale wallets
- 12
- fills ≥ $10K
- 41%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
England
8 wallets bought at an average of 56¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-06
Mexico
1 wallet bought at an average of 49¢
last traded 13¢ on 2026-07-06
how to read this
The flow is broad rather than concentrated: 11 whale wallets put 90% of their buy volume on the same side, with the largest single wallet at 41%. Agreement at that width is harder to dismiss as one trader's idea, though it is still agreement about odds, not about the outcome.
Between those entries and the last print the market moved 44 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.
The market has since converged — England last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-06 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | 0x1d2e…896d | BUY | England | $104K | 52¢ |
| 2026-07-06 | 0xe234…304a | SELL | Mexico | $48K | 48¢ |
| 2026-07-05 | 0xa6d1…286a | BUY | England | $27K | 54¢ |
| 2026-07-05 | 0x032e…2a9e | BUY | Mexico | $25K | 49¢ |
| 2026-07-05 | 0xa6d1…286a | BUY | England | $18K | 54¢ |
| 2026-07-06 | 0xab82…abe5 | BUY | England | $16K | 52¢ |
| 2026-07-06 | 0x8a26…937e | BUY | England | $15K | 87¢ |
| 2026-07-06 | 0x6978…9897 | SELL | England | $15K | 99.9¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 47 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-20
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.