Who bet on "Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?" — Polymarket whale activity
1 whale wallet moved $280K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-06-21, across 2 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 94¢. The market last traded No at 28¢.
- $280K
- whale volume
- 1
- whale wallets
- 2
- fills ≥ $10K
- 100%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
1 wallet bought at an average of 94¢
last traded 28¢ on 2026-06-21
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 1 wallet put $280K into No at around 94¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 100% of the buy flow ($280K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 28¢ on 2026-06-21 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (2)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | 0x2c33…0563 | BUY | No | $148K | 91¢ |
| 2026-06-21 | 0x2c33…0563 | BUY | No | $133K | 96¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.