Who bet on "Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance" — Polymarket whale activity
5 whale wallets moved $278K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-04, across 7 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to France, at a volume-weighted entry of 93¢. The market last traded France at 99.9¢.
- $278K
- whale volume
- 5
- whale wallets
- 7
- fills ≥ $10K
- 53%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
France
4 wallets bought at an average of 93¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-04
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. Whales were paying 93¢ for France — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The market has since converged — France last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-04 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (7)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | 0x3a6a…458e | BUY | France | $93K | 93¢ |
| 2026-07-04 | 0xbc1b…9d59 | BUY | France | $47K | 93¢ |
| 2026-07-04 | 0xbc1b…9d59 | BUY | France | $47K | 93¢ |
| 2026-07-04 | 0xbc1b…9d59 | BUY | France | $47K | 93¢ |
| 2026-07-04 | 0xe907…cff6 | BUY | France | $19K | 93¢ |
| 2026-07-04 | 0xed1e…7e93 | SELL | France | $14K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-07-04 | 0x29f8…cfb1 | BUY | France | $12K | 93¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 47 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-20
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.