Who bet on "Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?" — Polymarket whale activity
15 whale wallets moved $2.25M through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-23, across 19 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.8¢. The market last traded Yes at 99.9¢.
- $2.25M
- whale volume
- 15
- whale wallets
- 19
- fills ≥ $10K
- 28%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
14 wallets bought at an average of 99.8¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-23
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 15 wallets put $2.25M into Yes at around 99.8¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 15 wallets with the largest at 28% ($601K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — Yes last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-23 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | 0xadc2…d1c9 | BUY | Yes | $601K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-07-21 | 0xf891…5d36 | BUY | Yes | $388K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-07-20 | 0xc8ab…6418 | BUY | Yes | $229K | 99.6¢ |
| 2026-07-22 | 0xf67f…31cf | BUY | Yes | $200K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-07-21 | 0x7c3d…5c6b | BUY | Yes | $200K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-07-23 | 0xd1c7…1d2b | BUY | Yes | $99K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-07-22 | 0x7131…29cc | SELL | Yes | $80K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-07-20 | 0x9951…11bd | BUY | Yes | $65K | 99.6¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 276 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-27
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.