Who's betting on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?"? — Polymarket whale activity
10 whale wallets moved $318K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-13, across 18 trades of $10,000 or more. 66% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 54¢. The market last traded Yes at 75¢.
- $318K
- whale volume
- 10
- whale wallets
- 18
- fills ≥ $10K
- 31%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
5 wallets bought at an average of 54¢
last traded 75¢ on 2026-08-17
No
2 wallets bought at an average of 50¢
last traded 25¢ on 2026-08-17
how to read this
Whale money is genuinely split here. Yes took 66% of the buy volume and No took 34%, so large wallets are on both sides of this question. There is no whale consensus to follow.
Between those entries and the last print the market moved 21 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | 0xf751…fec8 | SELL | Yes | $39K | 52¢ |
| 2026-08-06 | 0xf751…fec8 | SELL | Yes | $26K | 52¢ |
| 2026-07-29 | 0xfaf6…cc47 | BUY | No | $24K | 56¢ |
| 2026-07-30 | 0x30e4…5102 | SELL | Yes | $23K | 44¢ |
| 2026-08-09 | 0xfbe6…00f8 | BUY | Yes | $21K | 63¢ |
| 2026-08-13 | 0xf559…f462 | BUY | Yes | $20K | 67¢ |
| 2026-08-06 | 0x4506…43fd | BUY | No | $18K | 46¢ |
| 2026-08-13 | 0x4e56…dee1 | BUY | Yes | $18K | 72¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.