Who's betting on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?"? — Polymarket whale activity
5 whale wallets moved $123K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-31, across 8 trades of $10,000 or more. 67% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 39¢. The market last traded Yes at 42¢.
- $123K
- whale volume
- 5
- whale wallets
- 8
- fills ≥ $10K
- 46%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
2 wallets bought at an average of 39¢
last traded 42¢ on 2026-08-03
No
1 wallet bought at an average of 56¢
last traded 59¢ on 2026-08-03
how to read this
Whale money is genuinely split here. Yes took 67% of the buy volume and No took 33%, so large wallets are on both sides of this question. There is no whale consensus to follow.
Between those entries and the last print the market moved 3 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 0xfaf6…cc47 | BUY | No | $24K | 56¢ |
| 2026-07-30 | 0x30e4…5102 | SELL | Yes | $23K | 44¢ |
| 2026-07-30 | 0xeb6f…25f0 | BUY | Yes | $16K | 39¢ |
| 2026-07-31 | 0xdf20…fff1 | SELL | Yes | $12K | 44¢ |
| 2026-07-31 | 0x30e4…5102 | SELL | Yes | $12K | 43¢ |
| 2026-07-30 | 0xfbe6…00f8 | BUY | Yes | $12K | 39¢ |
| 2026-07-30 | 0xfbe6…00f8 | BUY | Yes | $12K | 39¢ |
| 2026-07-30 | 0xfbe6…00f8 | BUY | Yes | $11K | 39¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-03
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.