Who's betting on "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?"? — Polymarket whale activity
44 whale wallets moved $1.65M through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-14, across 75 trades of $10,000 or more. 72% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 71¢. The market last traded Yes at 80¢.
- $1.65M
- whale volume
- 44
- whale wallets
- 75
- fills ≥ $10K
- 28%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
25 wallets bought at an average of 71¢
last traded 80¢ on 2026-09-14
No
16 wallets bought at an average of 49¢
last traded 20¢ on 2026-09-14
how to read this
Whale money is genuinely split here. Yes took 72% of the buy volume and No took 28%, so large wallets are on both sides of this question. There is no whale consensus to follow.
Between those entries and the last print the market moved 9 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 0x3a8a…7699 | BUY | Yes | $87K | 81¢ |
| 2026-09-11 | 0x3a8a…7699 | BUY | Yes | $79K | 81¢ |
| 2026-09-13 | 0x3a8a…7699 | BUY | Yes | $65K | 79¢ |
| 2026-09-10 | 0x6a37…2fc5 | BUY | No | $54K | 49¢ |
| 2026-09-12 | 0x1fee…ed5e | BUY | Yes | $50K | 79¢ |
| 2026-09-11 | 0x71ca…3501 | BUY | Yes | $45K | 81¢ |
| 2026-09-13 | 0x3a8a…7699 | BUY | Yes | $42K | 78¢ |
| 2026-09-11 | 0x7b02…4991 | BUY | Yes | $40K | 81¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-14
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.