Who bet on "Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?" — Polymarket whale activity
9 whale wallets moved $333K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-18, across 11 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.0¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.
- $333K
- whale volume
- 9
- whale wallets
- 11
- fills ≥ $10K
- 43%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
8 wallets bought at an average of 99.0¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-18
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 9 wallets put $333K into No at around 99.0¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 9 wallets with the largest at 43% ($131K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-18 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | 0x4488…e319 | BUY | No | $74K | 99.3¢ |
| 2026-08-18 | 0xe25b…0f1b | BUY | No | $55K | 99.0¢ |
| 2026-08-18 | 0x4488…e319 | BUY | No | $34K | 99.3¢ |
| 2026-08-18 | 0xdf70…5e92 | BUY | No | $34K | 99.0¢ |
| 2026-08-05 | 0xdc4f…4652 | SELL | No | $26K | 98¢ |
| 2026-08-01 | 0xe7bd…ebce | BUY | No | $23K | 98¢ |
| 2026-08-18 | 0x4488…e319 | BUY | No | $22K | 99.3¢ |
| 2026-08-18 | 0x410a…2643 | BUY | No | $18K | 99.1¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-31 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.