Who bet on "Will France win on 2026-06-22?" — Polymarket whale activity
4 whale wallets moved $65K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-06-23, across 4 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 92¢. The market last traded Yes at 99.9¢.
- $65K
- whale volume
- 4
- whale wallets
- 4
- fills ≥ $10K
- 45%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
4 wallets bought at an average of 92¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-06-23
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 4 wallets put $65K into Yes at around 92¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 4 wallets with the largest at 45% ($29K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — Yes last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-06-23 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (4)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | 0xe907…cff6 | BUY | Yes | $29K | 91¢ |
| 2026-06-23 | 0x06f2…1269 | BUY | Yes | $12K | 95¢ |
| 2026-06-22 | 0x89cd…4d7d | BUY | Yes | $12K | 91¢ |
| 2026-06-22 | 0x7efe…2e32 | BUY | Yes | $12K | 92¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.