Who bet on "Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" — Polymarket whale activity
79 whale wallets moved $2.62M through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-31, across 262 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.7¢. The market last traded No at 99.5¢.
- $2.62M
- whale volume
- 79
- whale wallets
- 262
- fills ≥ $10K
- 2%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
79 wallets bought at an average of 99.7¢
last traded 99.5¢ on 2026-08-17
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 79 wallets put $2.62M into No at around 99.7¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 79 wallets with the largest at 2% ($50K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.5¢ on 2026-08-17 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | 0x69c6…4593 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-30 | 0xbd75…baae | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-30 | 0x7859…ae87 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-30 | 0x0ad8…8e67 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-29 | 0x9b64…842c | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-30 | 0xa8d7…6c03 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-30 | 0xd58f…eb41 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-29 | 0x8683…3d39 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.