Who bet on "Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?" — Polymarket whale activity
12 whale wallets moved $349K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-16, across 16 trades of $10,000 or more. 94% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 94¢. The market last traded Yes at 99.9¢.
- $349K
- whale volume
- 12
- whale wallets
- 16
- fills ≥ $10K
- 26%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
11 wallets bought at an average of 94¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-16
No
1 wallet bought at an average of 8¢
last traded 0.1¢ on 2026-09-16
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 12 wallets put $349K into Yes at around 94¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 12 wallets with the largest at 26% ($90K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — Yes last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-16 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | 0x8fbc…5c63 | BUY | Yes | $90K | 93¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0xf975…4354 | BUY | Yes | $37K | 92¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0x4408…1b6a | BUY | Yes | $30K | 92¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0xf3a6…71bd | BUY | Yes | $28K | 92¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0x9e3a…e974 | BUY | Yes | $23K | 95¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0x7583…4df2 | BUY | No | $21K | 8¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0xa797…dede | BUY | Yes | $15K | 95¢ |
| 2026-09-16 | 0x48c9…e829 | BUY | Yes | $15K | 93¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-28 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.