Who is betting on "Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?" on Polymarket?

3 wallets traded $10,000 or more on this market between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-25, for $99K of whale volume across 4 fills. The largest single wallet accounts for 80% of whale buy volume.

Which side are whales on for "Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?"?

100% of whale buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry price of 99.1¢. This describes positioning that already happened; it is not a prediction of the outcome.

Who bet on "Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?" — Polymarket whale activity

3 whale wallets moved $99K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-25, across 4 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.1¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.

near-certain entry·2026-08-21 → 2026-08-25·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000

$99K
whale volume: 3
whale wallets: 4
fills ≥ $10K: 80%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

No

2 wallets bought at an average of 99.1¢

$59K

100% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-29

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. 3 wallets put $99K into No at around 99.1¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 80% of the buy flow ($47K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.

The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-29 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (4)

date	wallet	side	outcome	size	price
2026-08-24	0x000d…758e	BUY	No	$47K	99.2¢
2026-08-21	0x56ad…f13e	SELL	No	$30K	99¢
2026-08-21	0x6e2c…b7f8	BUY	No	$12K	99¢
2026-08-25	0x6e2c…b7f8	SELL	No	$10K	99.7¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)$99K · whale consensus US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova$99K · one-wallet conviction Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$99K · near-certain entry

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-31 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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