Who bet on "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?" — Polymarket whale activity
5 whale wallets moved $99K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-26, across 5 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 98¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.
- $99K
- whale volume
- 5
- whale wallets
- 5
- fills ≥ $10K
- 51%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
4 wallets bought at an average of 98¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-31
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 5 wallets put $99K into No at around 98¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 51% of the buy flow ($42K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-31 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (5)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 0x5936…0b7b | BUY | No | $42K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-08-18 | 0xfaf6…cc47 | SELL | No | $17K | 99.1¢ |
| 2026-08-02 | 0xe234…304a | BUY | No | $16K | 96¢ |
| 2026-08-01 | 0x3eae…e2ed | BUY | No | $13K | 96¢ |
| 2026-08-01 | 0x7f9e…3a0e | BUY | No | $12K | 96¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-31 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.