Who bet on "Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?" — Polymarket whale activity
2 whale wallets moved $108K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-02, across 2 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.7¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.
- $108K
- whale volume
- 2
- whale wallets
- 2
- fills ≥ $10K
- 76%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
2 wallets bought at an average of 99.7¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-02
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 2 wallets put $108K into No at around 99.7¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 76% of the buy flow ($82K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-02 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (2)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | 0x2322…3ede | BUY | No | $82K | 99.6¢ |
| 2026-08-02 | 0xb7cd…6827 | BUY | No | $26K | 99.9¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.