Who bet on "Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga" — Polymarket whale activity

6 whale wallets moved $106K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-21, across 6 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Roman Andres Burruchaga, at a volume-weighted entry of 99¢. The market last traded Roman Andres Burruchaga at 99.9¢.

near-certain entry·2026-07-212026-07-21·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$106K
whale volume
6
whale wallets
6
fills ≥ $10K
35%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Roman Andres Burruchaga

4 wallets bought at an average of 99¢

$75K
100% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-21

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. 6 wallets put $106K into Roman Andres Burruchaga at around 99¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

The flow is spread across 6 wallets with the largest at 35% ($26K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.

The market has since converged — Roman Andres Burruchaga last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-21 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (6)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-07-210xaa3c…5607BUYRoman Andres Burruchaga$26K99.9¢
2026-07-210x5bc6…eff4BUYRoman Andres Burruchaga$20K95¢
2026-07-210x8bfe…2d74SELLRoman Andres Burruchaga$17K99.9¢
2026-07-210xba8c…e77dBUYRoman Andres Burruchaga$15K99.9¢
2026-07-210x5f65…2036SELLRoman Andres Burruchaga$15K95¢
2026-07-210x59ba…f6a2BUYRoman Andres Burruchaga$14K99.9¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 276 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-27 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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