Who bet on "Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" — Polymarket whale activity
34 whale wallets moved $1.08M through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-29, across 108 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.7¢. The market last traded No at 99.5¢.
- $1.08M
- whale volume
- 34
- whale wallets
- 108
- fills ≥ $10K
- 5%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
34 wallets bought at an average of 99.7¢
last traded 99.5¢ on 2026-08-02
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 34 wallets put $1.08M into No at around 99.7¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 34 wallets with the largest at 5% ($50K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.5¢ on 2026-08-02 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 0xf614…e7c1 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-29 | 0x7b92…63c4 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-29 | 0x7b92…63c4 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-29 | 0xf614…e7c1 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-29 | 0x57fe…1ea2 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-29 | 0x8cdf…0a77 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-29 | 0x9914…1a22 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-07-29 | 0xe50a…c6a0 | BUY | No | $10K | 99.7¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-03
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.