Who bet on "Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?" — Polymarket whale activity
4 whale wallets moved $126K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-05, across 5 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.7¢. The market last traded Yes at 99.9¢.
- $126K
- whale volume
- 4
- whale wallets
- 5
- fills ≥ $10K
- 39%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Yes
4 wallets bought at an average of 99.7¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-05
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 4 wallets put $126K into Yes at around 99.7¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
The flow is spread across 4 wallets with the largest at 39% ($50K) — several participants independently taking the same yield, which is what an efficient market looks like rather than a signal.
The market has since converged — Yes last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-05 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (5)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 0x7523…4c4c | BUY | Yes | $36K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-08-05 | 0x8931…a90c | BUY | Yes | $35K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-08-05 | 0x9507…7b04 | BUY | Yes | $20K | 99.7¢ |
| 2026-08-05 | 0x6d1b…1bec | BUY | Yes | $20K | 99.8¢ |
| 2026-08-05 | 0x8931…a90c | BUY | Yes | $14K | 99.7¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.