Who bet on "Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo" — Polymarket whale activity
5 whale wallets moved $137K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-18, across 8 trades of $10,000 or more. 52% of their buy volume went to Raphael Collignon, at a volume-weighted entry of 93¢. The market last traded Raphael Collignon at 99.9¢.
- $137K
- whale volume
- 5
- whale wallets
- 8
- fills ≥ $10K
- 52%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Raphael Collignon
1 wallet bought at an average of 93¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-18
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
3 wallets bought at an average of 64¢
last traded 2¢ on 2026-07-18
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 5 wallets put $137K into Raphael Collignon at around 93¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 52% of the buy flow ($47K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — Raphael Collignon last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-18 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | 0x9709…52ab | SELL | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $32K | 90¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x9709…52ab | BUY | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $20K | 57¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x8bfe…2d74 | BUY | Raphael Collignon | $19K | 94¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x45e4…3c69 | SELL | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $16K | 76¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x8bfe…2d74 | BUY | Raphael Collignon | $15K | 91¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x8bfe…2d74 | BUY | Raphael Collignon | $12K | 95¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x5268…135d | BUY | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $12K | 91¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x5f65…2036 | BUY | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $10K | 46¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.