Who is betting on "US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul" on Polymarket?

6 wallets traded $10,000 or more on this market between 2026-09-04 and 2026-09-04, for $415K of whale volume across 13 fills. The largest single wallet accounts for 62% of whale buy volume.

Which side are whales on for "US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul"?

85% of whale buy volume went to Tommy Paul, at a volume-weighted entry price of 69¢. This describes positioning that already happened; it is not a prediction of the outcome.

Who bet on "US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul" — Polymarket whale activity

6 whale wallets moved $415K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-04, across 13 trades of $10,000 or more. 85% of their buy volume went to Tommy Paul, at a volume-weighted entry of 69¢. The market last traded Tommy Paul at 99.9¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-09-04 → 2026-09-04·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000

$415K
whale volume: 6
whale wallets: 13
fills ≥ $10K: 62%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Tommy Paul

3 wallets bought at an average of 69¢

$351K

85% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-04

Alexander Bublik

3 wallets bought at an average of 41¢

$64K

15% of buy flow

last traded 2¢ on 2026-09-04

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0x168a…0d24 accounts for 62% of all whale buy volume ($256K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 31 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Tommy Paul last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-04 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (8)

date	wallet	side	outcome	size	price
2026-09-04	0x821d…cf16	BUY	Tommy Paul	$75K	95¢
2026-09-04	0x168a…0d24	BUY	Tommy Paul	$55K	61¢
2026-09-04	0x168a…0d24	BUY	Tommy Paul	$50K	63¢
2026-09-04	0x168a…0d24	BUY	Tommy Paul	$47K	62¢
2026-09-04	0xc430…1ebf	BUY	Alexander Bublik	$33K	39¢
2026-09-04	0x168a…0d24	BUY	Tommy Paul	$33K	62¢
2026-09-04	0x168a…0d24	BUY	Tommy Paul	$29K	64¢
2026-09-04	0x168a…0d24	BUY	Tommy Paul	$28K	62¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

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This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-07 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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