Who bet on "Targu Mures: Mia Ristic vs Darja Semenistaja" — Polymarket whale activity
2 whale wallets moved $122K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-28, across 3 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Mia Ristic, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.9¢. The market last traded Mia Ristic at 99.7¢.
- $122K
- whale volume
- 2
- whale wallets
- 3
- fills ≥ $10K
- 100%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
Mia Ristic
1 wallet bought at an average of 99.9¢
last traded 99.7¢ on 2026-07-28
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 2 wallets put $122K into Mia Ristic at around 99.9¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 100% of the buy flow ($18K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — Mia Ristic last traded at 99.7¢ on 2026-07-28 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (3)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | 0xa16a…33a1 | SELL | Mia Ristic | $55K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-07-28 | 0xa16a…33a1 | SELL | Mia Ristic | $50K | 99.9¢ |
| 2026-07-28 | 0xba8c…e77d | BUY | Mia Ristic | $18K | 99.9¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-03 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.