Who's betting on "Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?"? — Polymarket whale activity
3 whale wallets moved $242K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-16, across 3 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 87¢. The market last traded No at 92¢.
- $242K
- whale volume
- 3
- whale wallets
- 3
- fills ≥ $10K
- 75%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
3 wallets bought at an average of 87¢
last traded 92¢ on 2026-07-21
how to read this
One wallet drives this market: 0x2cff…59db accounts for 75% of all whale buy volume ($181K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.
Between those entries and the last print the market moved 5 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.
biggest whale fills (3)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | 0x2cff…59db | BUY | No | $181K | 87¢ |
| 2026-07-01 | 0xa3ff…540e | BUY | No | $50K | 88¢ |
| 2026-07-16 | 0x4b2f…1627 | BUY | No | $11K | 91¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.