Who is betting on "Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals" on Polymarket?

5 wallets traded $10,000 or more on this market between 2026-08-13 and 2026-08-13, for $215K of whale volume across 5 fills. The largest single wallet accounts for 55% of whale buy volume.

Which side are whales on for "Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals"?

55% of whale buy volume went to Washington Nationals, at a volume-weighted entry price of 97¢. This describes positioning that already happened; it is not a prediction of the outcome.

Who bet on "Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals" — Polymarket whale activity

5 whale wallets moved $215K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-13, across 5 trades of $10,000 or more. 55% of their buy volume went to Washington Nationals, at a volume-weighted entry of 97¢. The market last traded Washington Nationals at 99.9¢.

near-certain entry·2026-08-13 → 2026-08-13·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000

$215K
whale volume: 5
whale wallets: 5
fills ≥ $10K: 55%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Washington Nationals

1 wallet bought at an average of 97¢

$108K

55% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-13

Chicago Cubs

3 wallets bought at an average of 47¢

$88K

45% of buy flow

last traded 0.7¢ on 2026-08-13

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. 5 wallets put $215K into Washington Nationals at around 97¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 55% of the buy flow ($108K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.

The market has since converged — Washington Nationals last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-13 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (5)

date	wallet	side	outcome	size	price
2026-08-13	0x2c33…0563	BUY	Washington Nationals	$108K	97¢
2026-08-13	0x0d8c…9555	BUY	Chicago Cubs	$38K	37¢
2026-08-13	0x7542…7a20	BUY	Chicago Cubs	$32K	53¢
2026-08-13	0x26b4…b8a9	SELL	Washington Nationals	$18K	99.9¢
2026-08-13	0xeafc…e4c4	BUY	Chicago Cubs	$18K	57¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5$218K · contested Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres$214K · one-wallet conviction Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$213K · near-certain entry

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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