Who is betting on "Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?" on Polymarket?

6 wallets traded $10,000 or more on this market between 2026-07-19 and 2026-07-19, for $258K of whale volume across 10 fills. The largest single wallet accounts for 27% of whale buy volume.

Which side are whales on for "Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?"?

100% of whale buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry price of 97¢. This describes positioning that already happened; it is not a prediction of the outcome.

Who bet on "Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?" — Polymarket whale activity

6 whale wallets moved $258K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-19, across 10 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 97¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.

near-certain entry·2026-07-19 → 2026-07-19·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000

$258K
whale volume: 6
whale wallets: 10
fills ≥ $10K: 27%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

No

6 wallets bought at an average of 97¢

$258K

100% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-19

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. Whales were paying 97¢ for No — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-19 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (8)

date	wallet	side	outcome	size	price
2026-07-19	0xa806…2c7c	BUY	No	$58K	96¢
2026-07-19	0xfea3…d227	BUY	No	$53K	96¢
2026-07-19	0x204f…5e14	BUY	No	$49K	97¢
2026-07-19	0x9ba7…00ef	BUY	No	$21K	96¢
2026-07-19	0x84cf…2f63	BUY	No	$18K	97¢
2026-07-19	0x076d…8d4c	BUY	No	$17K	96¢
2026-07-19	0x204f…5e14	BUY	No	$11K	97¢
2026-07-19	0x84cf…2f63	BUY	No	$11K	97¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance$278K · near-certain entry Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.81M · whale consensus Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$288K · near-certain entry

This market is one of 47 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-20

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