Who bet on "Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants" — Polymarket whale activity

3 whale wallets moved $85K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-29, across 3 trades of $10,000 or more. 64% of their buy volume went to San Francisco Giants, at a volume-weighted entry of 52¢. The market last traded San Francisco Giants at 99.9¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-07-292026-07-29·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$85K
whale volume
3
whale wallets
3
fills ≥ $10K
52%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

San Francisco Giants

2 wallets bought at an average of 52¢

$54K
64% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-29

Milwaukee Brewers

1 wallet bought at an average of 50¢

$31K
36% of buy flow

last traded 0.3¢ on 2026-07-29

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0x3dfb…abaf accounts for 52% of all whale buy volume ($44K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 48 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — San Francisco Giants last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-29 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (3)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-07-290x3dfb…abafBUYSan Francisco Giants$44K49¢
2026-07-290x1b20…3ab0BUYMilwaukee Brewers$31K50¢
2026-07-290x927c…6633BUYSan Francisco Giants$10K66¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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