Who bet on "Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" — Polymarket whale activity
1 whale wallet moved $149K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-18, across 11 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to No, at a volume-weighted entry of 99.3¢. The market last traded No at 99.9¢.
- $149K
- whale volume
- 1
- whale wallets
- 11
- fills ≥ $10K
- 100%
- top wallet share
where the whale money went
No
1 wallet bought at an average of 99.3¢
last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-18
how to read this
This is not a directional bet. 1 wallet put $149K into No at around 99.3¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.
It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 100% of the buy flow ($80K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.
The market has since converged — No last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-18 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.
biggest whale fills (8)
| date | wallet | side | outcome | size | price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | 0x4b0e…0677 | SELL | No | $16K | 99.3¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x4b0e…0677 | BUY | No | $16K | 99.3¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x4b0e…0677 | SELL | No | $16K | 99.3¢ |
| 2026-07-18 | 0x4b0e…0677 | BUY | No | $16K | 99.3¢ |
| 2026-07-17 | 0x4b0e…0677 | BUY | No | $13K | 99.2¢ |
| 2026-07-17 | 0x4b0e…0677 | SELL | No | $13K | 99.2¢ |
| 2026-07-17 | 0x4b0e…0677 | SELL | No | $13K | 99.2¢ |
| 2026-07-17 | 0x4b0e…0677 | BUY | No | $13K | 99.2¢ |
Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.
markets with similar flow
This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.
Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.
Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing
Free tier covers the whale endpoints used on this page.