Who bet on "Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina" — Polymarket whale activity

4 whale wallets moved $146K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-08-17, across 6 trades of $10,000 or more. 88% of their buy volume went to Elina Svitolina, at a volume-weighted entry of 87¢. The market last traded Elina Svitolina at 99.9¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-08-172026-08-17·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$146K
whale volume
4
whale wallets
6
fills ≥ $10K
55%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Elina Svitolina

3 wallets bought at an average of 87¢

$95K
88% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-08-17

Tereza Valentova

1 wallet bought at an average of 78¢

$13K
12% of buy flow

last traded 0.3¢ on 2026-08-17

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0x204f…5e14 accounts for 55% of all whale buy volume ($59K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 13 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Elina Svitolina last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-08-17 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (6)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-08-170x204f…5e14BUYElina Svitolina$59K89¢
2026-08-170xdb85…152fSELLElina Svitolina$27K88¢
2026-08-170x8002…8b6cBUYElina Svitolina$18K78¢
2026-08-170x2c33…0563BUYElina Svitolina$17K89¢
2026-08-170x8002…8b6cBUYTereza Valentova$13K78¢
2026-08-170xdb85…152fSELLElina Svitolina$12K83¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-08-17 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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