Who is betting on "Broncos vs. Chiefs" on Polymarket?

11 wallets traded $10,000 or more on this market between 2026-09-14 and 2026-09-15, for $5.30M of whale volume across 11 fills. The largest single wallet accounts for 28% of whale buy volume.

Which side are whales on for "Broncos vs. Chiefs"?

50% of whale buy volume went to Broncos, at a volume-weighted entry price of 45¢. This describes positioning that already happened; it is not a prediction of the outcome.

Who bet on "Broncos vs. Chiefs" — Polymarket whale activity

11 whale wallets moved $5.30M through this market in the 30 days to 2026-09-15, across 11 trades of $10,000 or more. 50% of their buy volume went to Broncos, at a volume-weighted entry of 45¢. The market last traded Broncos at 0.1¢.

contested·2026-09-14 → 2026-09-15·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000

$5.30M
whale volume: 11
whale wallets: 11
fills ≥ $10K: 28%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Broncos

4 wallets bought at an average of 45¢

$115K

50% of buy flow

last traded 0.1¢ on 2026-09-15

Chiefs

4 wallets bought at an average of 68¢

$113K

50% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-09-15

how to read this

Whale money is genuinely split here. Broncos took 50% of the buy volume and Chiefs took 50%, so large wallets are on both sides of this question. There is no whale consensus to follow.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 45 cents against the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Chiefs last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-09-15 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (8)

date	wallet	side	outcome	size	price
2026-09-15	0x5169…1842	SELL	Chiefs	$4.85M	99.9¢
2026-09-15	0x73f4…a24b	SELL	Broncos	$117K	45¢
2026-09-15	0x9f2f…2ca8	SELL	Chiefs	$103K	54¢
2026-09-14	0x2c33…0563	BUY	Broncos	$63K	44¢
2026-09-14	0xbd36…ba9d	BUY	Chiefs	$52K	57¢
2026-09-15	0x2e6c…0c51	BUY	Chiefs	$40K	90¢
2026-09-14	0x8a86…4998	BUY	Broncos	$22K	46¢
2026-09-14	0xd4fe…c916	BUY	Broncos	$20K	46¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

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This market is one of 300 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-09-21

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