Who bet on "Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance" — Polymarket whale activity

12 whale wallets moved $351K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-04, across 15 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Argentina, at a volume-weighted entry of 94¢. The market last traded Argentina at 99.9¢.

near-certain entry·2026-07-032026-07-04·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$351K
whale volume
12
whale wallets
15
fills ≥ $10K
28%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Argentina

12 wallets bought at an average of 94¢

$351K
100% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-04

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. Whales were paying 94¢ for Argentina — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

The market has since converged — Argentina last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-04 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (8)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-07-040x8325…19ccBUYArgentina$86K95¢
2026-07-030xe907…cff6BUYArgentina$45K93¢
2026-07-030xa8ca…d535BUYArgentina$31K94¢
2026-07-040xd1ed…d7cbBUYArgentina$30K94¢
2026-07-030x0a96…5dabBUYArgentina$21K94¢
2026-07-030x8fbb…9a17BUYArgentina$19K93¢
2026-07-030xfaa2…e80aBUYArgentina$19K93¢
2026-07-030x9952…9cbaBUYArgentina$18K94¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 47 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-20

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