smart money

The biggest wallets on Polymarket

The 50 addresses that have committed the most capital, with how much each bought, across how many separate questions, and at what average price they got in. Every address is real and resolves on-chain — click any one to check it yourself.

$131.05M committed · as of October 1, 2026 · bar: $100K across ≥3 markets

This ranks capital committed, not profit — and there is no win rate here on purpose.

We only see a market's outcome for a small share of the questions these wallets trade, because the upstream feed stops reporting a market the moment it resolves. A win rate computed on that slice would not be an approximate number, it would be a wrong one — a wallet that lost on five hundred markets and won the ten we happen to hold would read as flawless. So we publish what the chain can prove and leave the column out until it can mean something.

01

0x2c335066…0563

322 markets · entry 0.63·spread across many
$17.53M
committed
biggest: $534K on Washington Nationals — Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals
3% of its money in that one position · active 109d · 384 fills
02

0x3dfb153c…abaf

245 markets · entry 0.53·spread across many
$7.11M
committed
biggest: $120K on Jessica Pegula — US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro
2% of its money in that one position · active 107d · 272 fills
03

0x204f72f3…5e14

260 markets · entry 0.85·favourite-backer
$6.87M
committed
biggest: $299K on Over — Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5
4% of its money in that one position · active 74d · 383 fills
04

0x6d20c35f…a165

78 markets · entry 0.51·spread across many
$6.00M
committed
biggest: $1.23M on Los Angeles Dodgers — Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
21% of its money in that one position · active 64d · 91 fills
05

0xfe787d2d…0319

215 markets · entry 0.59·spread across many
$5.05M
committed
biggest: $280K on Rams — 49ers vs. Rams
6% of its money in that one position · active 103d · 233 fills
06

0x63cf8544…e4d0

3 markets · entry 0.66·one big call
$3.80M
committed
biggest: $3.10M on Bills — Lions vs. Bills
82% of its money in that one position · active 1d · 9 fills
07

0x5e945820…5ba1

102 markets · entry 0.51·spread across many
$3.66M
committed
biggest: $121K on Arizona Diamondbacks — Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
3% of its money in that one position · active 101d · 122 fills
08

0xccd81fbd…f4de

84 markets · entry 0.94·favourite-backer
$3.38M
committed
biggest: $225K on Carlos Alcaraz — US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz
7% of its money in that one position · active 110d · 122 fills
09

0x821dab05…cf16

154 markets · entry 0.88·favourite-backer
$3.07M
committed
biggest: $250K on No — Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 2 - 2 Valencia CF?
8% of its money in that one position · active 35d · 202 fills
10

0x0f6f76ce…d977

16 markets · entry 0.68·selective
$3.04M
committed
biggest: $1.33M on Yes — Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?
44% of its money in that one position · active 23d · 50 fills
11

0x8a8685a7…4998

98 markets · entry 0.48·spread across many
$2.91M
committed
biggest: $218K on Atlanta Braves — Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
8% of its money in that one position · active 62d · 111 fills
12

0x84cfffc3…2f63

85 markets · entry 0.65·spread across manylikely automated
$2.70M
committed
biggest: $318K on Patriots — Steelers vs. Patriots
12% of its money in that one position · active 107d · 99 fills
13

0xe6ca6ebb…bff4

3 markets · entry 0.61·selective
$2.63M
committed
biggest: $1.37M on Yes — Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
52% of its money in that one position · active 3d · 18 fills
14

0x4bff30af…fc26

66 markets · entry 0.57·spread across many
$2.53M
committed
biggest: $191K on Dricus Du Plessis — UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)
8% of its money in that one position · active 105d · 70 fills
15

0x168a51f1…0d24

13 markets · entry 0.55·selective
$2.53M
committed
biggest: $960K on Yes — Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?
38% of its money in that one position · active 26d · 36 fills
16

0x7c37b52e…6aeb

64 markets · entry 0.51·spread across many
$2.51M
committed
biggest: $120K on NIP — Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A
5% of its money in that one position · active 27d · 86 fills
17

0x09b428f7…7320

5 markets · entry 0.55·selective
$2.19M
committed
biggest: $971K on No — Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
44% of its money in that one position · active 8d · 18 fills
18

0x9319a045…6410

8 markets · entry 0.47·selective
$2.11M
committed
biggest: $936K on Over — Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5
44% of its money in that one position · active 20d · 28 fills
19

0xdb859a55…152f

74 markets · entry 0.55·spread across many
$2.11M
committed
biggest: $198K on Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?
9% of its money in that one position · active 94d · 72 fills
20

0x1610db79…ae49

123 markets · entry 0.54·spread across many
$2.10M
committed
biggest: $59K on Barbora Palicova — Tolentino: Barbora Palicova vs Alicia Herrero Linana
3% of its money in that one position · active 108d · 131 fills
21

0x6211f97a…b89e

9 markets · entry 0.57·selective
$2.05M
committed
biggest: $433K on Under — Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5
21% of its money in that one position · active 7d · 13 fills
22

0x983eedfb…6748

12 markets · entry 0.48·selective
$1.97M
committed
biggest: $1.00M on Yes — Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?
51% of its money in that one position · active 25d · 38 fills
23

0xfc25f141…1f7f

69 markets · entry 0.99·settlement harvesting
$1.94M
committed
biggest: $222K on LGD Gaming — LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner
11% of its money in that one position · active 105d · 69 fills
24

0x9f2fe025…2ca8

31 markets · entry 0.72·spread across many
$1.92M
committed
biggest: $441K on Mexico — Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
23% of its money in that one position · active 107d · 28 fills
25

0xf28e42d2…cab2

43 markets · entry 0.72·spread across many
$1.89M
committed
biggest: $181K on James Madison — James Madison vs. San Diego State
10% of its money in that one position · active 85d · 55 fills
26

0x224a89db…a3d5

58 markets · entry 0.55·spread across many
$1.86M
committed
biggest: $147K on No — Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
8% of its money in that one position · active 108d · 93 fills
27

0x9d36d180…0e68

6 markets · entry 0.49·selective
$1.80M
committed
biggest: $753K on Iraq — Spread: France (-2.5)
42% of its money in that one position · active 3d · 11 fills
28

0x924379a7…658e

29 markets · entry 0.48·spread across many
$1.79M
committed
biggest: $174K on Giants — Titans vs. Giants
10% of its money in that one position · active 86d · 43 fills
29

0x26b46988…b8a9

158 markets · entry 0.62·spread across many
$1.76M
committed
biggest: $40K on Vikings — Vikings vs. Buccaneers
2% of its money in that one position · active 76d · 101 fills
30

0x16bb9951…8492

82 markets · entry 0.50·spread across many
$1.73M
committed
biggest: $46K on Kent State — Ball State vs. Kent State
3% of its money in that one position · active 83d · 86 fills
31

0xcd30f469…f316

63 markets · entry 0.49·spread across many
$1.73M
committed
biggest: $117K on Alliance — Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D
7% of its money in that one position · active 68d · 70 fills
32

0x076daa87…8d4c

81 markets · entry 0.58·spread across many
$1.71M
committed
biggest: $140K on Panama — Spread: England (-2.5)
8% of its money in that one position · active 104d · 92 fills
33

0x67542c32…e3bc

35 markets · entry 0.54·spread across many
$1.67M
committed
biggest: $243K on Rams — Giants vs. Rams
15% of its money in that one position · active 95d · 43 fills
34

0x72254fe1…659a

8 markets · entry 0.59·selective
$1.64M
committed
biggest: $807K on Yes — Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
49% of its money in that one position · active 12d · 9 fills
35

0xc2e7800b…be51

25 markets · entry 0.59·spread across many
$1.59M
committed
biggest: $237K on Yes — Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?
15% of its money in that one position · active 61d · 41 fills
36

0x5f659bcc…2036

157 markets · entry 0.49·spread across many
$1.58M
committed
biggest: $88K on Taylor Fritz — Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taylor Fritz
6% of its money in that one position · active 84d · 109 fills
37

0x547f2917…2937

39 markets · entry 0.67·spread across many
$1.56M
committed
biggest: $157K on Under — Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
10% of its money in that one position · active 59d · 48 fills
38

0x2005d16a…75ea

65 markets · entry 0.67·spread across many
$1.53M
committed
biggest: $170K on Julieta Pareja — Barranquilla: Julieta Pareja vs Lucrezia Stefanini
11% of its money in that one position · active 100d · 101 fills
39

0x3a8aa345…7699

6 markets · entry 0.89·favourite-backer
$1.50M
committed
biggest: $989K on No — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
66% of its money in that one position · active 49d · 18 fills
40

0x14c7111a…9ccf

7 markets · entry 0.51·selective
$1.42M
committed
biggest: $728K on Yes — Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?
51% of its money in that one position · active 5d · 11 fills
41

0xd1c76931…1d2b

22 markets · entry 1.00·settlement harvesting
$1.37M
committed
biggest: $234K on No — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
17% of its money in that one position · active 72d · 32 fills
42

0x52ecea7b…a6f3

43 markets · entry 0.92·favourite-backer
$1.33M
committed
biggest: $163K on Gen.G — LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
12% of its money in that one position · active 63d · 48 fills
43

0xe9076a87…cff6

96 markets · entry 0.59·spread across manylikely automated
$1.29M
committed
biggest: $61K on JD Gaming — LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
5% of its money in that one position · active 106d · 70 fills
44

0x7d6d24d5…2654

39 markets · entry 0.53·spread across many
$1.27M
committed
biggest: $110K on Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida — Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez
9% of its money in that one position · active 29d · 57 fills
45

0x34dd4a4b…fd83

9 markets · entry 0.53·selective
$1.27M
committed
biggest: $332K on Yes — Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-28?
26% of its money in that one position · active 7d · 23 fills
46

0x31e5d54a…4879

8 markets · entry 0.77·one big call
$1.23M
committed
biggest: $877K on Alexander Zverev — US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp
71% of its money in that one position · active 3d · 19 fills
47

0x78becf0a…bde0

51 markets · entry 0.55·spread across many
$1.22M
committed
biggest: $100K on Carlos Alcaraz — US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
8% of its money in that one position · active 25d · 75 fills
48

0x23222038…3ede

49 markets · entry 1.00·settlement harvesting
$1.21M
committed
biggest: $107K on No — Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 4?
9% of its money in that one position · active 100d · 43 fills
49

0xcd65c327…ee96

66 markets · entry 0.52·spread across many
$1.20M
committed
biggest: $90K on Yes — Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?
7% of its money in that one position · active 80d · 49 fills
50

0x51698a47…1842

5 markets · entry 0.57·selective
$1.20M
committed
biggest: $448K on Yes — Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?
37% of its money in that one position · active 4d · 10 fills

How to read it. Entry price is the number that carries the most meaning. A wallet averaging 0.30 is paid three-to-one when it is right and can be wrong most of the time; one averaging 0.85 is buying heavy favourites and needs to be right almost always to come out ahead. Above 0.97 it is not a call at all — the market has already decided, and the wallet is collecting the last few cents. Those rows are labelled rather than hidden, because leaving them out would understate the volume they really moved.

Concentration is how much of a wallet's money sits in its single largest position. High means one conviction; low means a book. 2 wallets are flagged as likely automated by upstream pattern analysis — kept on the board and marked, since trading like a desk is a fact about an address, not a reason to hide it.

We tested whether whale flow actually predicts outcomes on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. You can pull the same wallet data yourself from the API.

Track these wallets yourself