smart money

The biggest wallets on Polymarket

The 50 addresses that have committed the most capital, with how much each bought, across how many separate questions, and at what average price they got in. Every address is real and resolves on-chain — click any one to check it yourself.

$41.55M committed · as of July 29, 2026 · bar: $100K across ≥3 markets

This ranks capital committed, not profit — and there is no win rate here on purpose.

We only see a market's outcome for a small share of the questions these wallets trade, because the upstream feed stops reporting a market the moment it resolves. A win rate computed on that slice would not be an approximate number, it would be a wrong one — a wallet that lost on five hundred markets and won the ten we happen to hold would read as flawless. So we publish what the chain can prove and leave the column out until it can mean something.

01

0x204f72f3…5e14

210 markets · entry 0.84·favourite-backer
$5.66M
committed
biggest: $185K on Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini
3% of its money in that one position · active 42d · 300 fills
02

0x2c335066…0563

53 markets · entry 0.72·spread across many
$3.30M
committed
biggest: $403K on No Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
12% of its money in that one position · active 45d · 67 fills
03

0x3dfb153c…abaf

68 markets · entry 0.53·spread across many
$2.25M
committed
biggest: $118K on Over Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
5% of its money in that one position · active 43d · 79 fills
04

0x09b428f7…7320

5 markets · entry 0.55·selective
$2.19M
committed
biggest: $971K on No Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
44% of its money in that one position · active 8d · 18 fills
05

0x9d36d180…0e68

6 markets · entry 0.49·selective
$1.80M
committed
biggest: $753K on Iraq Spread: France (-2.5)
42% of its money in that one position · active 3d · 11 fills
06

0x72254fe1…659a

8 markets · entry 0.59·selective
$1.64M
committed
biggest: $807K on Yes Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
49% of its money in that one position · active 12d · 9 fills
07

0x84cfffc3…2f63

45 markets · entry 0.69·spread across many
$1.34M
committed
biggest: $157K on Yes Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12% of its money in that one position · active 44d · 51 fills
08

0x9f2fe025…2ca8

18 markets · entry 0.71·selective
$1.19M
committed
biggest: $441K on Mexico Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
37% of its money in that one position · active 41d · 15 fills
09

0x4bff30af…fc26

26 markets · entry 0.57·spread across many
$1.11M
committed
17% of its money in that one position · active 41d · 25 fills
10

0x547f2917…2937

24 markets · entry 0.66·spread across many
$1.05M
committed
biggest: $157K on Under Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
15% of its money in that one position · active 27d · 30 fills
11

0x7c1ee865…bab3

15 markets · entry 0.47·selective
$972K
committed
33% of its money in that one position · active 32d · 17 fills
12

0x5e945820…5ba1

25 markets · entry 0.49·spread across many
$823K
committed
13% of its money in that one position · active 42d · 29 fills
13

0xcd30f469…f316

31 markets · entry 0.49·spread across many
$820K
committed
12% of its money in that one position · active 32d · 31 fills
14

0x7d6d24d5…2654

28 markets · entry 0.54·spread across many
$784K
committed
biggest: $100K on Liam Draxl Winnipeg: Liam Draxl vs Clement Chidekh
13% of its money in that one position · active 26d · 34 fills
15

0xc8ab97a9…6418

5 markets · entry 1.00·settlement harvesting
$778K
committed
biggest: $549K on Yes Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
71% of its money in that one position · active 36d · 2 fills
16

0xe9076a87…cff6

48 markets · entry 0.65·spread across manylikely automated
$721K
committed
biggest: $45K on Argentina Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
6% of its money in that one position · active 42d · 37 fills
17

0xfc25f141…1f7f

20 markets · entry 1.00·settlement harvesting
$698K
committed
biggest: $222K on LGD Gaming LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner
32% of its money in that one position · active 40d · 20 fills
18

0xe5495816…2d54

4 markets · entry 0.54·selective
$673K
committed
biggest: $311K on No Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?
46% of its money in that one position · active 30d · 6 fills
19

0xed107a85…d2e5

8 markets · entry 0.99·settlement harvesting
$662K
committed
41% of its money in that one position · active 31d · 9 fills
20

0x361b16e3…74fe

7 markets · entry 0.55·selective
$662K
committed
biggest: $339K on Over France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
51% of its money in that one position · active 23d · 13 fills
21

0xc2e7800b…be51

5 markets · entry 0.62·selective
$624K
committed
38% of its money in that one position · active 16d · 12 fills
22

0x26437896…39ae

11 markets · entry 0.58·selective
$610K
committed
biggest: $130K on New York Yankees Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees
21% of its money in that one position · active 44d · 19 fills
23

0xfe787d2d…0319

25 markets · entry 0.63·spread across many
$576K
committed
biggest: $103K on San Francisco Giants Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
18% of its money in that one position · active 39d · 25 fills
24

0xa4b1eac9…5143

4 markets · entry 0.60·selective
$557K
committed
biggest: $300K on Yes Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
54% of its money in that one position · active 13d · 4 fills
25

0x5f659bcc…2036

60 markets · entry 0.50·spread across many
$541K
committed
biggest: $88K on Taylor Fritz Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taylor Fritz
16% of its money in that one position · active 46d · 43 fills
26

0xd1ed1219…d7cb

18 markets · entry 0.92·favourite-backer
$531K
committed
33% of its money in that one position · active 34d · 21 fills
27

0x4b0eed37…0677

11 markets · entry 0.99·settlement harvesting
$518K
committed
24% of its money in that one position · active 26d · 32 fills
28

0x076daa87…8d4c

16 markets · entry 0.56·selective
$515K
committed
biggest: $140K on Panama Spread: England (-2.5)
27% of its money in that one position · active 37d · 21 fills
29

0x6d20c35f…a165

21 markets · entry 0.64·spread across many
$496K
committed
biggest: $243K on Yes Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
49% of its money in that one position · active 33d · 11 fills
30

0x8201c749…8a41

36 markets · entry 0.80·spread across many
$473K
committed
biggest: $88K on Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers
19% of its money in that one position · active 32d · 26 fills
31

0x2005d16a…75ea

23 markets · entry 0.77·spread across many
$423K
committed
20% of its money in that one position · active 36d · 26 fills
32

0x8bfee7ae…2d74

24 markets · entry 0.80·favourite-backer
$411K
committed
biggest: $76K on Yes Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
18% of its money in that one position · active 43d · 19 fills
33

0xd1c537b2…cbd0

3 markets · entry 0.46·selective
$409K
committed
biggest: $244K on No Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
60% of its money in that one position · active 25d · 3 fills
34

0x709e8dcb…66f5

5 markets · entry 0.50·selective
$395K
committed
biggest: $162K on Argentina Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
41% of its money in that one position · active 24d · 5 fills
35

0xfea31bc0…d227

7 markets · entry 0.96·favourite-backer
$380K
committed
biggest: $215K on No Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
56% of its money in that one position · active 32d · 6 fills
36

0x224a89db…a3d5

10 markets · entry 0.49·selective
$374K
committed
biggest: $147K on No Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
39% of its money in that one position · active 44d · 18 fills
37

0x56acab44…d77e

7 markets · entry 0.58·one big call
$359K
committed
biggest: $218K on Spain Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
61% of its money in that one position · active 27d · 8 fills
38

0x2117ae94…5c26

15 markets · entry 0.61·selective
$351K
committed
19% of its money in that one position · active 37d · 16 fills
39

0xf070207d…ac55

32 markets · entry 0.55·spread across many
$348K
committed
biggest: $22K on Bilibili Gaming Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
6% of its money in that one position · active 44d · 25 fills
40

0x7c3db723…5c6b

3 markets · entry 1.00·settlement harvesting
$339K
committed
65% of its money in that one position · active 34d · 4 fills
41

0xd487f513…053e

30 markets · entry 0.98·settlement harvesting
$338K
committed
biggest: $53K on Nongshim Red Force LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
16% of its money in that one position · active 45d · 16 fills
42

0xe9a6ed2e…627b

6 markets · entry 0.52·selective
$329K
committed
biggest: $195K on Yes Will France win on 2026-07-18?
59% of its money in that one position · active 33d · 7 fills
43

0x52ecea7b…a6f3

11 markets · entry 0.97·favourite-backer
$329K
committed
20% of its money in that one position · active 12d · 11 fills
44

0xcd65c327…ee96

11 markets · entry 0.48·selective
$324K
committed
biggest: $75K on Over United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5
23% of its money in that one position · active 9d · 9 fills
45

0x8b4bca1d…541b

9 markets · entry 0.96·favourite-backer
$323K
committed
41% of its money in that one position · active 31d · 10 fills
46

0x8042d175…3680

4 markets · entry 0.58·selective
$315K
committed
biggest: $164K on Yes Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
52% of its money in that one position · active 4d · 7 fills
47

0xd66ef0c3…051f

3 markets · entry 0.51·one big call
$312K
committed
biggest: $212K on Tunisia Spread: Japan (-1.5)
68% of its money in that one position · active 1d · 3 fills
48

0xdb859a55…152f

16 markets · entry 0.51·selective
$311K
committed
biggest: $51K on Alex Pereira UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
16% of its money in that one position · active 43d · 15 fills
49

0xf28e42d2…cab2

7 markets · entry 0.73·selective
$306K
committed
biggest: $92K on Pittsburgh Pirates Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
30% of its money in that one position · active 21d · 9 fills
50

0xe221be3b…06f6

6 markets · entry 0.45·selective
$302K
committed
biggest: $125K on Over France vs. England: O/U 3.5
41% of its money in that one position · active 20d · 7 fills

How to read it. Entry price is the number that carries the most meaning. A wallet averaging 0.30 is paid three-to-one when it is right and can be wrong most of the time; one averaging 0.85 is buying heavy favourites and needs to be right almost always to come out ahead. Above 0.97 it is not a call at all — the market has already decided, and the wallet is collecting the last few cents. Those rows are labelled rather than hidden, because leaving them out would understate the volume they really moved.

Concentration is how much of a wallet's money sits in its single largest position. High means one conviction; low means a book. One wallet is flagged as likely automated by upstream pattern analysis — kept on the board and marked, since trading like a desk is a fact about an address, not a reason to hide it.

We tested whether whale flow actually predicts outcomes on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. You can pull the same wallet data yourself from the API.

Track these wallets yourself