Who bet on "Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki" — Polymarket whale activity

2 whale wallets moved $63K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-05, across 2 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Jannik Sinner, at a volume-weighted entry of 97¢. The market last traded Jannik Sinner at 99.9¢.

near-certain entry·2026-07-052026-07-05·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000
$63K
whale volume
2
whale wallets
2
fills ≥ $10K
84%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Jannik Sinner

2 wallets bought at an average of 97¢

$63K
100% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-05

how to read this

This is not a directional bet. 2 wallets put $63K into Jannik Sinner at around 97¢ — an outcome the market already priced as all but decided. The trade on offer here is the last few cents of the dollar, not a call on the result, and reading it as smart-money conviction would be wrong.

It is also mostly one actor: the largest wallet is 84% of the buy flow ($53K), so this is a single desk parking money rather than a crowd doing the same trade.

The market has since converged — Jannik Sinner last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-05 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (2)

datewalletsideoutcomesizeprice
2026-07-050xb7cb…e02fBUYJannik Sinner$53K97¢
2026-07-050x018c…9794BUYJannik Sinner$10K97¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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