Who is betting on "Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?" on Polymarket?

3 wallets traded $10,000 or more on this market between 2026-07-07 and 2026-07-07, for $108K of whale volume across 6 fills. The largest single wallet accounts for 86% of whale buy volume.

Which side are whales on for "Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?"?

100% of whale buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry price of 34¢. This describes positioning that already happened; it is not a prediction of the outcome.

Who bet on "Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?" — Polymarket whale activity

3 whale wallets moved $108K through this market in the 30 days to 2026-07-07, across 6 trades of $10,000 or more. 100% of their buy volume went to Yes, at a volume-weighted entry of 34¢. The market last traded Yes at 99.9¢.

one-wallet conviction·2026-07-07 → 2026-07-07·whale = single fill ≥ $10,000

$108K
whale volume: 3
whale wallets: 6
fills ≥ $10K: 86%
top wallet share

where the whale money went

Yes

2 wallets bought at an average of 34¢

$92K

100% of buy flow

last traded 99.9¢ on 2026-07-07

how to read this

One wallet drives this market: 0x09b4…7320 accounts for 86% of all whale buy volume ($79K). That makes this one desk's position rather than a crowd view — the concentration is the story, and it means a single actor's change of mind would move the whole picture.

Between those entries and the last print the market moved 65 cents toward the side whales bought. That is the distance between two observed prices, not a profit: we do not know which of these wallets are still holding.

The market has since converged — Yes last traded at 99.9¢ on 2026-07-07 — so this page is a record of how large wallets positioned while the question was still open.

biggest whale fills (6)

date	wallet	side	outcome	size	price
2026-07-07	0x09b4…7320	BUY	Yes	$20K	33¢
2026-07-07	0x09b4…7320	BUY	Yes	$20K	33¢
2026-07-07	0x09b4…7320	BUY	Yes	$20K	33¢
2026-07-07	0x09b4…7320	BUY	Yes	$20K	33¢
2026-07-07	0x424d…3b7e	SELL	Yes	$16K	99.0¢
2026-07-07	0x158d…0897	BUY	Yes	$13K	43¢

Each wallet links to its transaction on Polygonscan — every number on this page is checkable against the chain.

markets with similar flow

Athens Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alina Korneeva$108K · one-wallet conviction Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$108K · near-certain entry Spread: France (-1.5)$108K · one-wallet conviction

This market is one of 240 markets we track whale flow on; the week's biggest moves across all of them are on the whale index.

Whether this kind of flow actually predicts outcomes is a separate question, and we tested it on hundreds of resolved markets — read the backtest. The short version: whale flow confirms, it does not forecast.

Not financial advice · on-chain data, may be delayed · snapshot of 2026-07-21 · below our data bar, excluded from search indexing

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